Wird bis 2025 in einem militärischen Konflikt eine Atomwaffe eingesetzt werden?

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§ Judgement rule

How will the final result of the question be determined?

Modify Final result
"Nein": Bis Ende 2025 MEZ wurde keine Atomwaffe eingesetzt. | "Ja, durch eine Nation": Eine Nation, die Kriegspartei ist, setzt eine oder mehrere Atomwaffen im Konflikt ein. | "Ja, durch zwei oder mehr Nationen": Der Atomkrieg eskaliert, die Frage wird sofort abgerechnet. | Atomwaffentests gelten nicht als militärischer Waffeneinsatz im Sinne dieser Prognosefrage.
Reference date: Dec. 31, 2025, 24:00 CET

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Wiki article

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Laut ORF hat der russische Präsident Wladimir Putin seit Beginn der Militäroperation in der Ukraine (Anm. am 24. Februar 2022) angedeutet, dass er bereit sei, Russlands taktische Atomwaffen einzusetzen. 

Russische Truppen in der russischen Ostsee-Enklave Kaliningrad simulierten am 5. Mai Angriffe mit nuklearwaffenfähigen Raketen vom Typ Iskander. 

Quelle

  1. Moskau: Atomangriff in Kaliningrad simuliert - ORF, 5. Mai 2022, 7:07 Uhr

Addendum

TED talk on the impact of a nuclear war by Professor Brian Toon from the University of Colorado-Boulder:

 

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Reasons and arguments Analyze

Top 5 participants (Ranking) Credits
1. Dieter Galli 6,590.34
2. Anton Erharter 4,254.71
3. Rudolf Greger 2,266.43
4. da vid 1,771.25
5. Bernhard Hegyi 1,726.30
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Countdown to final result Dec. 31, 2025, 18:00:00 2025/12/31 24:00 CET