Will the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil exceed $85 per barrel at the end of November?

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§ Judgement rule

How will the final result of the question be determined?

See Wiki
Reference date: Nov. 30, 2023, 17:00 EST

Answer options

Widget Price
 No
82.11 %
 Yes
17.88 %

Price trend

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Wiki article

Edit

We will use the Deember 2023 futures contract. If it expires before the due date we will use January 2024 futures.

We will use the prior settled last price on  to expire the contract. This is available on the CME page, https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude_quotes_globex.html

 

DETAILS:

Oil futures trade 6pm-5pm ET (e.g. opens at 6pm and closes at 5pm, having a one hour break),
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude_contractSpecs_futures.html
We will use the LAST listed on the expiry source for contracts,
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude_quotes_globex.html
which is the price at 5pm.

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Question owner:
Koleman Strumpf
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