Will the Playstation 4 or the Xbox One sell more consoles worldwide by March 29th, 2014?
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Background
Microsoft and Sony announced that their next console generation will be launched almost concurrently: Xbox One (XO) on Friday, November 22 in the UK and 13 more countries. PlayStation 4 (PS4) will launch one week earlier than that in North America and one week later in Europe. [1]
Differentiators
The two consoles' differences are as follows - for their impact on the forecast see in the "Discussion" section below:
Hardware differences
[Missing: Kinect should make a difference?]
| Differences | PS4 | XO | Comment |
| Price | US$400 | US$500 | PS4 is 20% cheaper |
| CPU | AMD Jaguar, 8 cores | AMD Jaguar, 8 cores | |
| RAM | 8GB GDDR5 5500mhz | 8GB DDR3 2133mhz plus 32MB eSRAM | ? |
| GPU | 1152 ATI logic cores | 768 ATI logic cores | |
| Memory Bandwidth | 176GBps | 68.3GBps | |
| Camera | 1280x800 (optional-$60) | 1920x1080 time-of-flight, infrared (included) |
Software differences
Both PS4 and Xbox One now seem to lack backwards compatibility with prior generation games except through digital repurchase. Hence, the availability (or lack) of certain new game might influence the purchase decision. This needs an estimate of the attractiveness of each console's exclusive games.
| Exclusive Games PS4 | Exclusive Games XO |
|---|---|
| Binding of Issac: Rebirth, Deep Down, DriveClub, Everybody's Gone to the Rapture, Galak-Z: The Dimensional, Guilty Gear Xrd -SIGN-, Guns of Icarus, Helldivers, Hotline Miami 2: Wrong Number, inFamous: Second Son, Killzone: Shadow Fall, Knack, N++, Natural Doctrine, Octodad: Deadliest Catch, The Order: 1886, Rime, Rogue Legacy, TimeSplitters Rewind, Shadow of the Beast, Volume, War Thunder, Wasteland Kings, Wonder Flick, Yakuza Ishin; | Below, Cobalt, Crimson Dragon, D4, Dead Rising 3, Fable Legends, Fighter Within, Forza Motorsport 5, Halo 5, Killer Instinct, Kinect Sports: Rivals, Quantum Break, Peggle 2, Powerstar Golf, Project Spark, Rabbids Invasion, RYSE: Son of Rome, Sunset Overdrive, Zumba Fitness: World Party, Untitled Black Tusk Game |
Opinion polls
A poll by Reuters/Ipsos shows PS4 (26%) ahead of Xbox One (16%) when asking consumers for their expected purchase preference. [6]
Expert opinions
Industry analyst Michael Pachter sees PS4 ahead for the start citing supply issues with Xbox. [5] But just a few months before, the same Michael Pachter predicted precisely the opposite: that Xbox will outsell PS4, due to the Xbox's TV tuner and Skype functionality [7] allegedly "sticking his neck out" with his predicting.
Discussion of differentiators
- Balance or Power? Comparing Xbox One and PS4 Hardware - GameFront, 23 September 2013
External Links
- Xbox One release date - Metro, 4 September 2013
- PS4 vs. Xbox One vs. Wii U Comparison Chart - IGN
- PS4 vs. Xbox One Games - IGN
- Xbox One Hardware & Analysis: Comparison to Playstation 4 - Anandtech, 22 May 2013
- Michael Pachter Reckons That the PS4 Will Outsell the Xbox One at Launch - PushSquare, 29 September 2013
- Sony's PS4 tops Xbox One as gamers' holiday choice . Reuters, 29 Sep 20
- Pachter Predicts PlayStation 4 Will Get Outsold By Next Xbox - Push, 10 Mar 2013