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Will automation cause rising unemployment by 2020?

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Why lower levels of education?

According to a piece in The Guardian [1], jobs that are on some level routine, repetitive and predictable are most easily done by a machine. For example manual labour in manufacturing but also jobs in telemarketing or even cooking (specifically fast food) are very prone to be replaced by a robot.

Other jobs will simply change, leaving the menial tasks to machines, requiring humans to aquire new, higher-level skillsets for their jobs or risk unemployment. Therefore workers with a low level of education are at a higher risk of being replaced by automation.

The Luddite Fallacy [2] states that technological advancement does not destroy jobs - it only changes the composition of jobs in the economy. New technologies create new jobs with higher-level skills and a general rise in income.

Employment rate of workers below second level education

Employment rate of under second level education workers - Copyright: OECD Data


Source: Employment by education level - Below upper secondary, OECD Data [3].
 

Sources

[1] The Guardian - "What jobs will still be around in 20 years? Read this to prepare your future"

[2] Technostism Wikia - "Luddite Fallacy"

[3] OECD Data - "Employment by education level" for below upper secondary education.