Will Scotland vote Yes or No to upcoming referendum which will ask "should Scotland be an independent country?"?

Follow |   22
Recruiting
  1. Welcome. First, let us explain the four tasks in each question. This button will later bring you to the wiki with some background information to the question. Now please click the blue arrow > to continue.
  2. This button will show you the exact judgement rule which specifies how the question will be settled and the winner determined. You must accept the rule to unlock trading.
  3. Clicking here will open the trading section where you can then buy and sell predictions using your virtual credits.
  4. The last button will bring you to the market talk section. Try to convince other traders of your predictions with a good argument.
  5. The better your predictions are compared to other traders, the higher will be your share of the incentive.
  1. Welcome! First, please click the “book” icon to jump to a question's information wiki.
  1. Great! Now please click here to check the exact judgement rule.
  1. Now, let’s do your first trade together. Please click here.
  1. Last task: Now convince other traders of your answer to push its price.
  1. When finished, click here to proceed to the next question.
  2. Click here to return to the previous question.
  3. Click here to jump to any question directly.
  4. Continue to trade, talk, or rate before proceeding to the next question.
  • No questions for this search term
  1. This is how the question will be judged in the end, when the final outcome becomes known.
  2. This is the precise date or end of the period to which the question refers.
  3. After reading the judgement rule, please click here.
Close

§ Judgement rule

How will the final result of the question be determined?

Modify Final result
Results of referendum will be freely available, will either be Yes or No
Reference date: Sept. 18, 2014, 24:00 IST

Answer options

Widget Price
● Yes: 55% or more
16.20 %
● Yes: 50 to 55%
12.86 %
● No: 45 to 50%
17.57 %
● No: Less than 45%
53.34 %

Price trend

Transactions
  1. Study the background information carefully.
  2. Read the background information carefully, before proceeding.

Wiki article

Edit

Flag map of Scotland - Copyright: Wikimedia users: NordNordWest, Kbolino, Fry1989

Recent Developments

The Economist reports pro-union forces ahead and discusses the potential impact of undecided voters towards a Yes-vote. [1]

Two polls just two weeks before the referendum point to narrowing gap: [3]

  • The Sunday Times even sees Yes ahead with 51 vs 49 % with a 2 % margin of error. However, the same research institue, Yougov, saw a gap of 22 % just one month before which raises some questions about reliability of their forecasts.
  • At the same time, a poll by ‘Yes Scotland’ itself still sees "No" leading with 52% to 48% but also points to a close result.

The outcome

CNN reports 55.35% for No and 44.65% for Yes with a very high participation of 84.6 %. [4]

Third party sources

Wikipedia

Media

  1. Ayes to the left - The Economist, 1 February 2014
  2. The Guardian: Scottish independence: the essential guide
  3. YouGov poll suggests majority in favour of Scottish independence - RTE News, 07 September 2014
  4. Scotland votes 'no' to independence in historic referendum - CNN, 19 September 2014

Topics

Assign
  1. Offering the reason for your trade may convince other traders to follow your opinion.
  2. Click '+' if you agree, or '–' to disagree. You get a credit for every rating you make.
  3. For each '+' the author will get +100 credits added to his trading account .
  4. If you rate a comment with "-", please reply and state your objection.
  5. Now please rate, reply, or write your own comment. Best of luck!

Reasons and arguments Analyze

Top 5 participants (Ranking) Credits
1. Anthony Liu 56,445.20
2. Ser de Broce 39,803.17
3. Hubertus Hofkirchner 25,400.71
4. Florian Harth 10,950.95
5. Günther Fädler 4,068.85
Photo Mickey Pierce
Question owner:
Mickey Pierce
  • 8,068 Views
  • 15 Messages
  • 60 Transactions
This question has 22 followers