Background

Professional politicians may announce their policy decisions concurrently with a statement of its desirable impact. There may be statements about undesirable effects too, and how these are outweighed by the positive ones. There may be also no mention of negative effects.

Evidence-based approach

Irrespective of whether bad forecasts cause bad decisions, or ideological decisions are just being rationalised with bad forecasts: such forecasts should be tracked and compared to final results for more political accountability.

All questions regarding the foundation decision:

• Pilot project
• Better forecasts
• Number of members