Will Donald Trump be a good President, and why?
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EditIndicator of Presidential Quality
The most accessible indicator of a presidential standing of 12 prior presidents is Gallup's approval/disapproval survey. [1] The table below shows the latest approval rating at the end of the first term, for Lyndon Johnson after 1400 days in office.
Table: Presidential Approval Score At the End of Their First Term (Sorted)
Rank | President | Start | Final Approval | Average |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Dwight Eisenhower | 1953 | 79 | 70 |
2 | Ronald Reagan | 1981 | 62 | 50 |
3 | Richard Nixon | 1969 | 59 | 56 |
4 | John Kennedy | 1961 | 58 | 70 |
5 | Bill Clinton | 1993 | 58 | 50 |
6 | Harry Truman | 1945 | 57 | 56 |
7 | George W. Bush | 2001 | 53 | 62 |
8 | Gerald Ford | 1974 | 53 | 47 |
9 | Barack Obama | 2009 | 51 | 48 |
10 | George H.W. Bush | 1989 | 49 | 61 |
11 | Lyndon Johnson | 1963 | 41 | 74 |
12 | Jimmy Carter | 1977 | 31 | 46 |
The re-election campaign gives most incumbent presidents some uplift around the end of the first term. Gallup's time series chart is recommended reading to understand these dynamics. [2]