Who will be announced as the new Wake economics department chairman by the end of the semester?

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§ Judgement rule

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The Wake economics department is in the process of selecting a new chairman. This position must be held by a tenured research professor. All current tenured professors are listed. The "Other" option will pay off if an unlisted person is announced (that includes for example the current chair) or there is no announcement by the end of the semester about this position. Note added 18 Feb: I may need to backdate the expiry time for this market to the time of the announcement. Trades made after the announcement will be refunded.
Reference date: May 1, 2024, 17:00 EDT

Answer options

Widget Price
● Mark Curtis
44.17 %
● John Dalton
9.73 %
● Erik Nesson
7.68 %
● Koleman Strumpf
7.13 %
● Fred Chen
6.88 %
● Other
6.10 %
● Robert Whaples
6.09 %
● Tina Dalton
6.08 %
● Tin Cheuk (Tommy) Leung
6.08 %

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Koleman Strumpf
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