Ohio Senate?

Follow |   1
Recruiting
  1. Welcome. First, let us explain the four tasks in each question. This button will later bring you to the wiki with some background information to the question. Now please click the blue arrow > to continue.
  2. This button will show you the exact judgement rule which specifies how the question will be settled and the winner determined. You must accept the rule to unlock trading.
  3. Clicking here will open the trading section where you can then buy and sell predictions using your virtual credits.
  4. The last button will bring you to the market talk section. Try to convince other traders of your predictions with a good argument.
  5. The better your predictions are compared to other traders, the higher will be your share of the incentive.
  1. Welcome! First, please click the “book” icon to jump to a question's information wiki.
  1. Great! Now please click here to check the exact judgement rule.
  1. Now, let’s do your first trade together. Please click here.
  1. Last task: Now convince other traders of your answer to push its price.
  1. When finished, click here to proceed to the next question.
  2. Click here to return to the previous question.
  3. Click here to jump to any question directly.
  4. Continue to trade, talk, or rate before proceeding to the next question.
  • No questions for this search term
  1. This is how the question will be judged in the end, when the final outcome becomes known.
  2. This is the precise date or end of the period to which the question refers.
  3. After reading the judgement rule, please click here.
Close

§ Judgement rule

How will the final result of the question be determined?

Modify Final result
Which candidate will get the most votes?
Reference date: Sept. 8, 2022, 09:05 EDT

Answer options

Widget Price
● J.D. Vance (R)
50.00 %
● Tim Ryan (D)
50.00 %

Price trend

Transactions
  1. Study the background information carefully.
  2. Read the background information carefully, before proceeding.

Wiki article

Edit

Question/Information

 

Most Recent Poll:

Stefanik (R): 68%

Castelli (D): 42%

 

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/2022/

Current Prediction from 538:

99% Stefanik (R)

 

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/house/new-york/21/

Money Raised this Election Cycle:

Stefanik (R): $7,327,076.16

Castelli (D): $1,114,515.86

 

https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/H4NY21079/

https://www.fec.gov/data/candidate/H2NY21164/

Money Spent this Election Cycle:

Stefanik (R): $6,683,701.65

Castelli (D): $683,097.60

 

SOURCE LINKS (if different from above)

Current Cash on Hand:

Stefanik (R): $2,626,915.33

Castelli (D): $431,418.26

 

SOURCE LINKS (if different from above)

Most Recent Campaign Advertisement or Appearance Online:

Stefanik (R): “Elise Holds Rally with Marc Molinaro and Montgomery County Supporters 08.15.2022”

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FbR-sR_DvdI

 

Castelli (D): “Matt Castelli – Mission”

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EYZ9C4H_Uwc

Top 4 News Headlines:

Stefanik (R):

1) Stefanik urges Canada to drop ArriveCAN requirement for cross-border travel (WWNY)

2) Poll: Former Stefanik aide and ex-Trump official tied in swing district GOP primary (The Hill)

3) Top U.S. Republican urges Canada to scrap ArriveCAN app (CBC)

4) Stefanik calls for transparency from FBI on Trump search, limo crash (WCAX)

 

Castelli (D):

1) Meet the NY-21 congressional candidates: Matt Castelli (WWTI)

2) NY-21 Democrats release first video ads ahead primary (The Press Republican)

3) Why I’m choosing Matt Castelli (Adirondack Daily Enterprise)

4) Congressional Corner with Matt Castelli (WAMC)

 

Top 3 Important Issues (Based on your opinion given your research):

1) Inflation

2) COVID-19 Restrictions

3) Immigration

 

Top 3 Industries Supporting Each Candidate:

Stefanik (R):

1) Retirees

2) Republican/Conservative Groups

3) Real Estate

 

Castelli (D):

1) Retirees

2) Lawyers

3) Education

 

https://www.opensecrets.org/races/industries?cycle=2022&id=NY21&spec=N

 

Major Changes Since Last Presentation:

Matt Castelli won the Democratic Party primary and is officially challenging Stefanik for her seat. He has significantly less cash on hand than Stefanik, partially due to having to fend off primary challenger Matt Purtorti. This will put him at a competitive disadvantage compared with Stefanik going into September.

 

Your Prediction as of Today:

Elise Stefanik (R)

 

Topics

Assign
  1. Offering the reason for your trade may convince other traders to follow your opinion.
  2. Click '+' if you agree, or '–' to disagree. You get a credit for every rating you make.
  3. For each '+' the author will get +100 credits added to his trading account .
  4. If you rate a comment with "-", please reply and state your objection.
  5. Now please rate, reply, or write your own comment. Best of luck!

Reasons and arguments Analyze

Top 5 participants (Ranking) Credits
1. Zachary McGee 0.00
Photo Zachary McGee
Question owner:
Zachary McGee
Moderator:
P. Hall
Photo P. Hall
  • 872 Views
  • 1 Messages
  • 2 Transactions
This question has 1 follower