How many units of the iPad mini will be sold from its launch in Q4 2012 through the end of Q1 2013?

Follow |   20
Recruiting
  1. Welcome. First, let us explain the four tasks in each question. This button will later bring you to the wiki with some background information to the question. Now please click the blue arrow > to continue.
  2. This button will show you the exact judgement rule which specifies how the question will be settled and the winner determined. You must accept the rule to unlock trading.
  3. Clicking here will open the trading section where you can then buy and sell predictions using your virtual credits.
  4. The last button will bring you to the market talk section. Try to convince other traders of your predictions with a good argument.
  5. The better your predictions are compared to other traders, the higher will be your share of the incentive.
  1. Welcome! First, please click the “book” icon to jump to a question's information wiki.
  1. Great! Now please click here to check the exact judgement rule.
  1. Now, let’s do your first trade together. Please click here.
  1. Last task: Now convince other traders of your answer to push its price.
  1. When finished, click here to proceed to the next question.
  2. Click here to return to the previous question.
  3. Click here to jump to any question directly.
  4. Continue to trade, talk, or rate before proceeding to the next question.
  • No questions for this search term
  1. This is how the question will be judged in the end, when the final outcome becomes known.
  2. This is the precise date or end of the period to which the question refers.
  3. After reading the judgement rule, please click here.
Close

§ Judgement rule

How will the final result of the question be determined?

Modify Final result
Numbers from Apple's quarterly earnings report from Q4 2012 and Q1 2013
Reference date: March 31, 2013, 24:00 PDT

Answer options

Widget Price
● Below 5 million units
19.58 %
● 5 to 10 million units
24.34 %
● Over 10 million units
56.06 %

Price trend

Transactions
  1. Study the background information carefully.
  2. Read the background information carefully, before proceeding.

Wiki article

Edit

iPad 1st generation compared with iPad Mini, both showing English Wikipedia main page (vertical screen position)

Tablet sales in the past

Sales for different tablet models (mid-october 2012):

ManufacturerUnits soldRelease date (# of quarters)Avg. units per quarter
Apple's iPad (9,7 in.)84 MioApril 2010 (11)7.6
Amazons's Kindle7 Mio.Sep 2011 (5)1.4
Barnes and Noble's Nook5 MioNov 2011 (5)1.0
Google's & Asus Nexus73 Mio (est.)July 2012 (2)1.5

Source: Forrester (New York Times: How Are 7-Inch Tablets Doing)

iPad mini reports

The official Apple announcement regarding opening weekend sales of both, the iPad mini and the fourth-generation iPad, topped 3 million, but did not break out the mini numbers.

Topics

Assign
  1. Offering the reason for your trade may convince other traders to follow your opinion.
  2. Click '+' if you agree, or '–' to disagree. You get a credit for every rating you make.
  3. For each '+' the author will get +100 credits added to his trading account .
  4. If you rate a comment with "-", please reply and state your objection.
  5. Now please rate, reply, or write your own comment. Best of luck!

Reasons and arguments Analyze

Top 5 participants (Ranking) Credits
1. Hubertus Hofkirchner 15,017.11
2. Florian Harth 11,181.66
3. Georg Jung 10,703.17
4. Benedikt Breinbauer 9,000.05
5. Clemens Pleban 8,351.56
Question owner:
Anonymous
  • 5,750 Views
  • 1 Messages
  • 39 Transactions
This question has 20 followers