How liquid will Lightning Network be at the end of 2020?

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§ Judgement rule

How will the final result of the question be determined?

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The question will be judged by the total bitcoin denominated liquidity in Lightning Network as of 31 December 2020 24:00 UTC.
Reference date: Dec. 31, 2020, 24:00 UTC

Answer options

Widget Price
● Up to 500
1.99 %
● 500 - 800
11.14 %
● 800 - 1,000
22.34 %
● 1,000 - 2,000
42.63 %
● 2,000 - 5,000
4.89 %
● 5,000 - 10,000
14.89 %
● More than 10,000
2.08 %

Price trend

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Wiki article

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Lightning Network Logo - Copyright: Oinman via Wikimedia: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bitcoin_lightning_logo.svgBitfinex just integrated Lightning, other crypto exchanges may follow, as real time deposits are deemed advantageous: Bitstamp, Poloniex, Bitmex, BTSE, maybe even Kraken and Bittrex. Each adopter will increase the pressure on the others.

Christoph Bergmann predicts a capacity of 10,000 bitcoin by the end of 2020, which would dramatically increase the transfer amounts. [1] But will he be right?

1ML shows Lightning Network statistics in real time.

Sources:

  1. "15 Prognosen zum Kryptomarkt im Jahr 2020", BitcoinBlog.de

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