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Will California voters pass Proposition 40 (billionaire wealth tax) on 3 November 2026?

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  • New question proposed accepted on 2026/09/19 18:13:31
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    Question
    Will California voters pass Proposition 40 (billionaire wealth tax) on 3 November 2026?
    Judgement rule
    California voters will decide on Proposition 40 in which state residents whose estimated net worth exceeds $1 billion on 1 Jan 2026 would pay a one-time 5% tax on their accumulated wealth (this tax would impact roughly 200 individuals). If there is no vote on the usual election day the NO outcome will occur.

    background:
    https://calmatters.org/california-voter-guide-2026/proposition-40-billionaire-tax/
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_California_Proposition_40
    https://ballotpedia.org/California_Proposition_40,_One-Time_Wealth_Tax_for_State-Funded_Healthcare,_Education,_and_Food_Assistance_Programs_Initiative_(2026)
    Question type
    Two alternatives
    Answers
    • (50.00%) YES
    • (50.00%) NO
    Time zone
    America/New_York
    Reference date:
    2026/11/03 20:00
    Result expected on
    2026/11/03 20:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until   2026/11/03 20:00