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Will Bitcoin's reward halving in May 2020 impact its value?

  • …  speed has increased enormously in the past few days, miners apparently want catch the last blocks with a higher reward. So the halving is now predicted earlier for this evening 2100 (European time …
    • Last: May 13, 2020, 03:27:00
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    USD 20.00

    Will Tesla be overtaken by the Germans? Which rank will it have in 2021?

  • …  is becoming irrelavant Innovation and market drive will continue to ensure the products at Tesla exceed expectations and allow the company to continually scale and grow The expectation was that a new battery …
    • Last: Jan. 7, 2022, 10:17:28
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    Will Ethereum surpass Bitcoin in market capitalization in 2016?

  • … , and I think costs of switching to SegWit are not so high for an operator competing market https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/will-ethereum-have-a-higher-market-cap-than-bitcoin-at-the-end …
    • Last: Dec. 22, 2016, 22:40:46
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    How effective will be the vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 Coronavirus?

  • …  No approval 0 - 20% 20 - 40% 40 - 60% 60 - 80% 80 - 100% its a race to a cure for all IMPORTANT! If you are not a medical professional, please do not participate in this prediction market. If you want …
    • Last: Dec. 23, 2021, 05:58:16
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    GMI 2013 UK shampoo market study: How will the average price of shampoo change in the next 12 month...

  • … This question relates to the GMI UK shampoo market study of December 2013 (also see "Topic" below). The answer chosen most often by all GMI respondents will be used to judge …
    • Last: Jan. 8, 2014, 10:48:57
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    USD 30.00

    GMI 2013 UK shampoo market study: Which reason will panelists mention most often for chosing the br...

  • … This question relates to the GMI UK shampoo market study of December 2013 (also see "Topic" below). Advertising The design of the packaging The smell An offer A recommendation Another …
    • Last: Aug. 25, 2014, 18:38:56
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    USD 60.00

    What percentage of Australian new car sales in 2015 will be cars with computerized automated parkin...

  • …  of autonomous cars but the maturation of the automobile market is precocious, the lack of good infrastructure in the cities is also a hindrance in the growth of sales. The "Future" technology is coming …
    • Last: Oct. 18, 2018, 15:34:53
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    USD 10.00

    Which brands of shampoo will have grown the most in usage when UK respondents will be asked next ye...

  • … This prediction question relates to the forthcoming 2014 GMI study of the UK shampoos market. Compare the usage which the 2014 study will record to the usage of the 2013 study. In other words …
    • Last: Nov. 7, 2018, 03:37:37
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    USD 40.00

    When will U.S. house prices peak before the next crisis?

  • … . As of 17 July 2018 the index was 223 points. H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 2020 2021 or later very good i just have to with the consensus on this one The international policies adopted by the United States …
    • Last: April 25, 2021, 23:04:39
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    When will the total number of deaths attributed to COVID-19 (SARS-CoV-2) cross 1 million?

  • … As published by the WHO, e.g. here on their crisis page https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019 In Q2 2020 (or before) In Q3 2020 In Q4 2020 During 2021 Later (or never …
    • Last: Dec. 18, 2020, 23:25:30
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    Wieviele tägliche COVID-19 Neuinfektionen wird es in Österreich Anfang September geben, wenn keine ...

  • …  at market prices (Regulations § 13.1)  …
    • Last: July 23, 2020, 18:58:25
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    USD 20.00

    Which company will be first to launch a smartwatch with automatic accurate blood pressure measureme...

  • … The question will be judged by the first self-calibrating and fully automatic smartwatch receiving regulatory approval in the US or the EU. If no such smartwatch is on the market by the end of 2023 …
    • Last: May 30, 2023, 21:04:27
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    Will the "Lockdown" quarantine policy of China in Q1 2020 turn out to be effective?

  • …  infections per day. I think it will be partially successful but my biggest concern is with the wet markets continuing how long until a more aggressive virus comes out of china. A lot of global virologists …
    • Last: Dec. 23, 2021, 05:51:29
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    Will UKIP get the biggest share of votes in the MEP election?

  • … Corrected the question design to conform to prediction market requirements. According to wikipedia the elections will be held on 22th of may: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Parliament_election …
    • Last: June 10, 2014, 11:15:46
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    Wie lange werden die aktuellen Ausgangsbeschränkungen in Österreich aufgrund von Corona andauern?

  • …  zu schweigen von der Allgemeinheit draussen. Andere Meinungen? Danke, für die Blumen! Mein erster Prediction Market jemals – das hat Spaß gemacht! :-) Danke, für die Blumen! Mein erster Prediction …
    • Last: Jan. 8, 2021, 09:48:12
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    Will Ethereum overtake Bitcoin in 2017 at least on one day, and by how much?

  • …  or becomes unreliable, judgement data shall be taken from the top ranked site listed on Google with the search term "crypto market capitalisation". No, up to 50% No, 50 to 100% Yes, 100 to 200% Yes …
    • Last: Dec. 31, 2017, 03:31:22
    • Settled
    USD 50.00

    Will shampoo and conditioner ever really fix damaged hair?

  • … As reliable market research data could not be provided this question will be settled at the current prediction market price. Settlement at market prices (Regulations § 13.1)  …
    • Last: Oct. 7, 2018, 16:49:12
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    USD 0.00

    Which of these brands of shampoo will have the highest user satisfaction in the 2013 study?

  • … 'Oreal is the market leader so it should have the highest ratings. I am ready to explore new solutions and at the moment i use Aussie and John Frieda for coloured hair. Hi Daouda, to compete …
    • Last: Jan. 8, 2014, 05:08:46
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    USD 80.00

    Will US airports see large crowds before a COVID-19 vaccine, and when?

  • …  ends if a vaccine becomes available for mass inoculation prior to reaching such level. Oct. - Dec. (Q4) 2020 Jan. - Jun. (H1) 2021 Jul. - Dec. (H2) 2021 In 2022 In 2023 or later Only after vaccination …
    • Last: Dec. 28, 2020, 22:08:54
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    Will US football stadiums reach pre-pandemic crowds before a COVID-19 vaccine, and when?

  • …  available for mass inoculation prior to reaching such level. Oct. - Dec. (Q4) 2020 Jan. - Jun. (H1) 2021 Jul. - Dec. (H2) 2021 In 2022 In 2023 or later Only after vaccination Apr. - Jun. (Q2) 2020 Jul. - Sep …
    • Last: Jan. 16, 2021, 02:01:57
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    USD 0.00
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