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Industry health: Will the market research industry grow or shrink from 2016 to 2020, and why?

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the inflation-adjusted compound annual growth rate (net CAGR) of the tradítional global market research industry turnover as reported by the ESOMAR Global Market Research Report 2020. For the avoidance of doubt, the GMR reports the prior year's turnover.
    • Last: March 11, 2022, 02:55:02
    • Settled
    USD 40.00

    Substitution: Will the importance of Big Data rise or fall until 2020?

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the ratio of Google search traffic for "Big Data" divided by that for "Market Research". Search traffic shall be calculated for the last full calendar month before the ESOMAR Congress 2020.
    • Last: Sept. 18, 2017, 13:54:26
    • Settled
    USD 40.00

    Crowdsourcing: What percentage level of interest will Prediction Markets reach by 2020 compared to ...

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the ratio of Google search traffic for "Prediction Markets" divided by that for "Market Research". Search traffic shall be calculated for the last full calendar month before the ESOMAR Congress 2020.
    • Last: Sept. 18, 2017, 14:01:22
    • Settled
    USD 40.00

    Research methods: Will online qualitative grow or shrink vs. online quantitative by 2020, and why?

  • This prediction question shall be judged by the share of spend by research method as reported by the ESOMAR GMR 2020. The result shall be the percentage of online qualitative research within the total of online research methods (i.e. online quantitative and qualitative).
    • Last: March 11, 2022, 02:55:19
    • Settled
    USD 40.00

    Quale candidato vincerà le elezioni primarie del Partito Democratico il prossimo 8 dicembre 2013?

  • Sulla base dell'annuncio ufficiale dei risultati da PD pubblicato sul sito http://www.primariepd2013.it/ oppure http://www.partitodemocratico.it/. Gli acquisti di titoli virtuali del vincitore saranno valutati al 100% e quelli di un altro candidato allo 0%.
    • Last: Dec. 10, 2013, 10:39:05
    • Settled
    USD 100.00

    Which of these brands of shampoo will have experienced the most growth in usage between December 20...

  • This question relates to the Kantar shampoo study. Compare the usage recorded in the 2013 study to the usage recorded in the 2012 study and predict which shampoo brand will have experienced the most growth in usage over the last year. The growth measurement will be based on the absolute increase in market share for any one brand and not percent increase of share for anyone brand.
    • Last: July 20, 2014, 06:58:58
    • Settled
    USD 50.00

    Which of these brands of shampoo will have the highest user satisfaction in the 2013 study?

  • This question relates to the UK shampoo study of December 2013 by GMI (see "Topics"). Panelists are asked to rank their satisfaction with each brand they used in terms of meeting their personal needs for a shampoo.
    • Last: Jan. 8, 2014, 05:08:46
    • Settled
    USD 80.00

    GMI 2013 UK shampoo market study: Which reason will panelists mention most often for chosing the br...

  • This question relates to the GMI UK shampoo market study of December 2013 (also see "Topic" below).
    • Last: Aug. 25, 2014, 18:38:56
    • Settled
    USD 60.00

    GMI 2013 UK shampoo market study: How will the average price of shampoo change in the next 12 month...

  • This question relates to the GMI UK shampoo market study of December 2013 (also see "Topic" below). The answer chosen most often by all GMI respondents will be used to judge this prediction question, which means the task here is to predict what the others will say.
    • Last: Jan. 8, 2014, 10:48:57
    • Settled
    USD 30.00

    Which brands of shampoo will have grown the most in usage when UK respondents will be asked next ye...

  • This prediction question relates to the forthcoming 2014 GMI study of the UK shampoos market. Compare the usage which the 2014 study will record to the usage of the 2013 study. In other words, the prediction is which shampoo brand will have experienced the most growth in usage over the next year according to the 2014 study respondents. The growth measurement will be based on the absolute increase in market share for any one brand and not percent increase of share for anyone brand.
    • Last: Nov. 7, 2018, 03:37:37
    • Settled
    USD 40.00

    Which team will win the 2014 PBA Commissioner's Cup?

  • The official result sanctioned by the Philippine Basketball Association (PBA) at the end of this conference will be binding. The "None" answer captures the unlikely event that no team wins the championship. This could be due to a number of extraneous variables, ranging from the cancellation of key games due to weather calamities, or the forfeiture of the entire conference in favor of Philippine Team (SMART Gilas) practices in preparation for the FIBA Basketball World Cup, among other reasons.
    • Last: May 16, 2014, 02:12:40
    • Settled
    USD 100.00

    Will New Demarchy produce better policy impact forecasts than professional politicians already in 2...

  • According to the manifesto, New Demarchy will capture policy impact predictions by politicians and run them as prediction questions on the prediction market. For some of these, final results will become available during 2016. We will divide the mean absolute errors (MAE) of the collective forecast of members on the prediction market by the MAE's of the responsible politicians. A constant of 100 % minus this ratio gives the performance indicator (PI). Hence a PI above 0 % will indicate an improvement, below 0 % a worse performance than politicians.
    • Last: Jan. 10, 2020, 23:23:58
    • Settled
    USD 10.01

    When will New Demarchy complete its first successful pilot project?

  • A pilot project of New Demarchy is defined as a political issue subject to a decision by a local, regional, or national political body, taken up by ND and dealt with by following a process according to the principles set out in the manifesto and resulting in a recommended decision. A successful pilot will have occurred if the responsible political body adopts ND's recommendation as its decision and it can be shown beyond reasonable doubt that ND's recommendation was a key factor influencing the political body's decision.
    • Last: Dec. 29, 2019, 11:40:05
    • Settled
    USD 10.02

    How many 4k TV (Ultra HD TV) units will be sold in 2016?

  • This question shall be judged by the 4k TV units sold worldwide in the calendar year 2016 as reported by market research report form a reputable and competent source.
    • Last: April 17, 2018, 23:16:15
    • Settled
    USD 50.00

    Which movie will have the most successful opening weekend in Austria for W19/2018?

  • The movie with the highest number of viewers for its opening weekend (11th - 13th May 2018), as reported by the Austrian Film Institute, will be deemed the correct answer. If a movie has been in the Austrian cinemas on a prior weekend, it does not qualify.
    • Last: May 12, 2018, 17:22:13
    • Settled
    USD 25.00

    How many people will see Deadpool 2 during its opening weekend in Austria?

  • This question will be settled by the amount of viewers that watch Deadpool 2 during its opening weekend in Austria (18. - 20. May 2018), as reported by the Austrian Film Institute.
    • Last: May 20, 2018, 21:06:44
    • Settled
    USD 25.00

    2018년 연말 기준 한국의 기준 금리는 얼마일까요?

  • 한국은행 공식 홈페이지
    • Last: Nov. 20, 2019, 07:17:43
    • Settled
    USD 200.00

    2018년 한국시리즈 우승팀을 맞춰보세요?

  • KBO 공식 홈페이지
    • Last: Nov. 7, 2018, 18:40:57
    • Settled
    USD 200.00

    2019년 코스피 지수를 예측해 보세요 (19.6月末)?

  • 한국증권거래소
    • Last: Nov. 21, 2019, 22:39:20
    • Settled
    USD 200.00

    What percent of users will be smartphone addicts by 2020?

  • This question will be judged by the percent of worldwide smartphone users in 2020 who check their phone more than 50 times a day, as reported by a leading consumer trends report.
    • Last: April 24, 2021, 08:55:50
    • Settled
    USD 10.00
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