Search results - Prediki Prediction Markets GmbH

Crowdsourcing: What percentage level of interest will Prediction Markets reach by 2020 compared to ...

… in the chart, prediction markets have seen a slow but steady uptrend over the forecast years, the pronounced jump in 2020 to the 15-20% range largely due to US election forecasts. Best forecasters were …

Last: Sept. 18, 2017, 14:01:22
Settled

USD 40.00

Will Donald Trump be a good President, and why?

… aggressive measures to slow the spread of the virus. He could have insisted that the United States ramp up efforts to produce test kits. He could have emphasized the risks that the virus presented and urged …

Last: Jan. 24, 2021, 11:15:47
Settled

USD 100.00

Will New Demarchy produce better policy impact forecasts than professional politicians already in 2...

… will become available during 2016. We will divide the mean absolute errors (MAE) of the collective forecast of members on the prediction market by the MAE's of the responsible politicians. A constant …

Last: Jan. 10, 2020, 23:23:58
Settled

USD 10.01

When will New Demarchy complete its first successful pilot project?

… be shown beyond reasonable doubt that ND's recommendation was a key factor influencing the political body's decision. 2019 2020, later, or never 2018 2017 2016 good The newDemocracy Foundation …

Last: Dec. 29, 2019, 11:40:05
Settled

USD 10.02

When will U.S. house prices peak before the next crisis?

… . As of 17 July 2018 the index was 223 points. H2 2018 H1 2019 H2 2019 2020 2021 or later very good i just have to with the consensus on this one The international policies adopted by the United States …

Last: April 25, 2021, 23:04:39
Settled

USD 60.00

What relationship will the UK and the EU agree after the Brexit?

… 以为继，终究符合世界发展大趋势。 4 估计走挪威的模式可能性大 test The possibility of extending negotiations between UK and EU is increasing. An article published on December 29th, 2017 in a United Kingdom newspaper states …

Last: April 16, 2019, 16:37:37
Settled

USD 50.00