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Who will win the SEC's lawsuit against Ripple Labs?

  • On 22 December 2020, the United States Securities and Exchange Commissions filed a complaint against Ripple Labs Inc,. Christian Larsen, and Bradley Garlinghouse with allegations of selling a "digital assets security" without registering this sale with the SEC. The question shall be judged according to the outcome of the first court judgement, irrespective of appeals.
    • Last: July 18, 2024, 13:09:39
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    USD 20.00

    Will global warming reach +1.5°C by 2030, and why?

  • The question will be judged by the global temperature anomaly in 2030, defined as the change to "pre-industrial levels" of the average of land and ocean temperatures, as reported by the NOAA's annual Global Climate Report or a similarly authoritative source.
    • Last: Oct. 22, 2024, 20:24:43
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    USD 10.00

    Which developed country will have the highest level of entrepreneurship in 2025, and why?

  • The prediction question shall be judged by the 2025 edition of the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM) for the countries with a GDP greater US$40,000. The relevant indicator shall be GEM's Total Early Entrepreneurship Activity (TEA) which is the percentage of adults claiming to be actively engaged in starting a new business.
    • Last: Dec. 12, 2024, 00:52:03
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    What will be the outcome of the Russo-Ukrainian war of 2022?

  • The question will be judged by the closest realised one of the five scenarios defined in an article from April 2022: "Appraising the war in Ukraine and likely outcomes" as published by the Foreign Policy Research Institute.
    • Last: Nov. 14, 2024, 20:25:27
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    USD 40.00
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