Search results - Prediki Prediction Markets GmbH

Big Data Promises Solid Growth for Market Research Industry

… by Hubertus Hofkirchner -- Vienna, 30 Sep 2016 Note: ESOMAR’s “Predict the GMR 2020” prediction market is tracking MRX industry growth, trends in methods, big data, commoditisation, industry …

Last: June 9, 2022, 12:44:23

Renewed Controversy About Election Polls

… MAE of 2.29 for traditional surveys compared to 1.16 percentage points for the independent prediction market “Wahlfieber”, i.e. double the forecast accuracy, beating all traditional polls …

Last: Nov. 11, 2022, 12:11:08

Управление путем прогнозов

… , 11 May 2017 Even though there is a stunningly simple answer to this question, predictions are a highly complex subject, so the two digit answer needs some explaining. Read more... Prediction Markets …

Last: April 20, 2018, 06:52:05

Start button

… Market page Prediki guides you through each prediction market where you participate. The blue START/CONTINUE button automatically brings you to your next task, with a single click. The blue progress …

Last: May 31, 2022, 05:26:57

Transaction logbook lines

… of a user, the system shows a final line with its value at current prediction market prices. This is not a transaction just a temporary line, for information only. O Opening valuation: When an incentive …

Last: Jan. 4, 2021, 16:52:35

Fees for Companies & Organisations

… by Prediki's clients. For Companies & Organisations (Clients) You want to run your own prediction market or a single prediction question? Public questions -- Free of charge, simply click here …

Last: May 29, 2017, 06:11:39

A New Perspective on Survey Distortions

… on the very foundations of our democracy. A better alternative On a prediction market, respondents must always predict an objective future fact. For example, a prediction question for a tax increase would ask …

Last: April 19, 2018, 08:45:23

How to Get Corporate Boards to Focus More on Shareholder Interests

… conflicts of interest, be they subtle or even blatant. The Solution Second-generation prediction markets open novel and effective ways to deal with these issues and generally, any information disparity …

Last: Oct. 2, 2018, 06:05:48

Bayesian Relief

… are turning to new technologies. One method shows particular promise in light of the speed challenge: second generation prediction markets. Right from their start in the late nineties, first generation systems …

Last: Sept. 16, 2016, 05:45:16

Futility A New Antidote Against Response Fraud

… by Hubertus Hofkirchner -- Vienna, 20 Nov 2015 Almost inadvertently, we recently discovered a surprising property of our second generation prediction market platform. Prediction markets were …

Last: July 21, 2016, 10:12:56

Pollsters Cheap Excuse for Bad Science

… . What should be done? Any research worth its name should fully embrace falsifiabilty. Obviously, not all methods can be as rigorous as prediction markets. Election predictions have built-in falsifiability …

Last: April 30, 2018, 12:12:48

How To Attract Long Haul Tourists

… challenges. The Austrian agency selected Prediki’s second generation prediction market to avoid the manifold foreseeable distortions and misunderstandings when working in unfamiliar cultures. Prediki always …

Last: Sept. 16, 2016, 05:40:13

Finding Unknown Brand Perceptions on the Example of Huawei

… traditional reputation score can be the fulcrum of your prediction question, the KPI to be predicted. Set up a "conditional" prediction question on a prediction market platform of your choice: " …

Last: March 6, 2020, 10:10:06

An Online Method to Identify Experts

… , what is it that you do?” Dutifully I reply: “Prediction Markets!” which results in the well-known blank stare and the little pause which always reminds me of my lamentable shortcomings as a prediction …

Last: July 17, 2018, 07:57:26

Leadership through future questions

… requirement to cite sources for every statement on Prediki, as the prediction market's prices allow an assessment of the argumentation. Democracy -- Not only forecasts and analysis, also changes …

Last: March 13, 2018, 09:42:22

New Qualitative: Tapping Crowd Intelligence for Advertising Efficiency

… perfectly integrate the two. One such example out of ESOMAR’s growing “Other” category is the prediction market method. Its trading mechanism produces a stream of quantitative data while in parallel …

Last: April 19, 2018, 08:38:56

Split an answer

… Why split answers? By splitting an answer in two more specific answers, the prediction's granularity and precision can be increased. Use this when a single answer has reached a high probability …

Last: April 11, 2013, 04:04:21

How to Ensure Honest Conversations in Your Company

… recommendations in principle, strategic conversations through specialised online tools such as Prediki, our open prediction market platform, are a more reliable way to ensure honest and meaningful conversations …

Last: March 6, 2020, 10:18:02

Case studies

… How To Attract Long-Haul Tourists Vienna, 01 September 2016 Case study - Advert pretest (Tourism) Read more... Predicting the Global Market Research Report of 2020 Vienna, 19 August 2016 Case …

Last: April 30, 2018, 06:48:06

Liar, Liar: Who Still Believes in Surveys?

… . There are many issues surrounding biases of respondents and their often mindless checkbox-ticking. However even we as prediction market specialists have to use old-school survey elements sometimes, e.g. when …

Last: April 19, 2018, 08:46:10