Search results - Prediki Prediction Markets GmbH

Response Fraud in Market Research: How Bad is it?

… by Hubertus Hofkirchner -- Vienna, 5 Jul 2015 Recently, we stumbled over a very strange survey result. In a screener questionnaire, which we ran before a prediction market study, almost 40 …

Last: April 19, 2018, 08:44:01

Управление путем прогнозов

… Helped by innovative Big Data applications, the market research sector will resume growth at 1.9% annually until 2020 (ESOMAR Congress 2016 Consensus Predictions Report #1). Read more... How To Attract …

Last: April 20, 2018, 06:52:05

Case studies

… How To Attract Long-Haul Tourists Vienna, 01 September 2016 Case study - Advert pretest (Tourism) Read more... Predicting the Global Market Research Report of 2020 Vienna, 19 August 2016 Case …

Last: April 30, 2018, 06:48:06

How to Ensure Honest Conversations in Your Company

… recommendations in principle, strategic conversations through specialised online tools such as Prediki, our open prediction market platform, are a more reliable way to ensure honest and meaningful conversations …

Last: March 6, 2020, 10:18:02

Start button

… Market page Prediki guides you through each prediction market where you participate. The blue START/CONTINUE button automatically brings you to your next task, with a single click. The blue progress …

Last: May 31, 2022, 05:26:57

Transaction logbook lines

… of a user, the system shows a final line with its value at current prediction market prices. This is not a transaction just a temporary line, for information only. O Opening valuation: When an incentive …

Last: Jan. 4, 2021, 16:52:35

Fees for Companies & Organisations

… by Prediki's clients. For Companies & Organisations (Clients) You want to run your own prediction market or a single prediction question? Public questions -- Free of charge, simply click here …

Last: May 29, 2017, 06:11:39

A New Perspective on Survey Distortions

… on the very foundations of our democracy. A better alternative On a prediction market, respondents must always predict an objective future fact. For example, a prediction question for a tax increase would ask …

Last: April 19, 2018, 08:45:23

How to Get Corporate Boards to Focus More on Shareholder Interests

… conflicts of interest, be they subtle or even blatant. The Solution Second-generation prediction markets open novel and effective ways to deal with these issues and generally, any information disparity …

Last: Oct. 2, 2018, 06:05:48

Bayesian Relief

… are turning to new technologies. One method shows particular promise in light of the speed challenge: second generation prediction markets. Right from their start in the late nineties, first generation systems …

Last: Sept. 16, 2016, 05:45:16

Futility A New Antidote Against Response Fraud

… by Hubertus Hofkirchner -- Vienna, 20 Nov 2015 Almost inadvertently, we recently discovered a surprising property of our second generation prediction market platform. Prediction markets were …

Last: July 21, 2016, 10:12:56

Pollsters Cheap Excuse for Bad Science

… . What should be done? Any research worth its name should fully embrace falsifiabilty. Obviously, not all methods can be as rigorous as prediction markets. Election predictions have built-in falsifiability …

Last: April 30, 2018, 12:12:48

How To Attract Long Haul Tourists

… challenges. The Austrian agency selected Prediki’s second generation prediction market to avoid the manifold foreseeable distortions and misunderstandings when working in unfamiliar cultures. Prediki always …

Last: Sept. 16, 2016, 05:40:13

Finding Unknown Brand Perceptions on the Example of Huawei

… traditional reputation score can be the fulcrum of your prediction question, the KPI to be predicted. Set up a "conditional" prediction question on a prediction market platform of your choice: " …

Last: March 6, 2020, 10:10:06

An Online Method to Identify Experts

… , what is it that you do?” Dutifully I reply: “Prediction Markets!” which results in the well-known blank stare and the little pause which always reminds me of my lamentable shortcomings as a prediction …

Last: July 17, 2018, 07:57:26

Leadership through future questions

… requirement to cite sources for every statement on Prediki, as the prediction market's prices allow an assessment of the argumentation. Democracy -- Not only forecasts and analysis, also changes …

Last: March 13, 2018, 09:42:22

Renewed Controversy About Election Polls

… MAE of 2.29 for traditional surveys compared to 1.16 percentage points for the independent prediction market “Wahlfieber”, i.e. double the forecast accuracy, beating all traditional polls …

Last: Nov. 11, 2022, 12:11:08

Help

… qualitative analysis functions and automated reporting. Please contact us if you want to use powerful prediction market technology for your research projects. Information for Media Partners If you are an online …

Last: April 4, 2022, 05:44:25

New Qualitative: Tapping Crowd Intelligence for Advertising Efficiency

… perfectly integrate the two. One such example out of ESOMAR’s growing “Other” category is the prediction market method. Its trading mechanism produces a stream of quantitative data while in parallel …

Last: April 19, 2018, 08:38:56

Split an answer

… Why split answers? By splitting an answer in two more specific answers, the prediction's granularity and precision can be increased. Use this when a single answer has reached a high probability …

Last: April 11, 2013, 04:04:21