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A New Perspective on Survey Distortions

  • … . How realistic is it that our political leaders will look into the details of survey language to assess bias before taking decisions? Even if they did and found a bias from their subjective point of view …
  • The Dangerous Path from Fake News

  • … . Tellingly, Millennials prefers their political news served as comedy formats like the Colbert Report and the Daily Show. The Road to Oppression The Chinese and North Korean governments, amongst others, have …
  • John Tack

  • … John Tack Ping Jeered I cant edit it I’ve a question to submit Politics New Zealand Wanted to invite you to support, anyone actually, don’t know how Still trying to figure the short option tho …
  • 0.00 Expertise

    Prediki New Zealand

    Prediction Markets 2.0

  • … Prediki New Zealand Prediction Markets 2.0  …
  • 0.00 Expertise

    Will Ohio Issue 1 pass on 7 November 2023?

  • … Background: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/November_2023_Ohio_Issue_1 https://www.dispatch.com/story/news/politics/2023/11/02/election-2023-what-you-need-to-know-about-ohio-issues-1-and-2/71381966007/  …
  • USD 0.00

    Which company will be first to launch a smartwatch with automatic accurate blood pressure measureme...

  • …  is not. So I am dumping my Huawei investment. https://gizmodo.com/huaweis-new-smartwatch-might-measure-blood-pressure-bu-1848247226 Huawei is rumoured to launch "Watch D" with blood pressure …
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    Will Tesla be overtaken by the Germans? Which rank will it have in 2021?

  • …  to only #7. I square my position with a small profit and go neutral on this question. I just received Audi's mailer about the new Audi e-tron. It looks quite good on paper while during a recent ride …
  • USD 0.00

    How many OECD countries will have drone delivery services by 2020?

  • … -faa-regulation I live in New Zealand and have already seen drone service deliveries in action. Dominos Pizza already has this and they call him DRU. This has proved a very effective and novel marketing …
  • USD 100.00

    What will the court rule in the case of Oscar Pistorius, the Blade Runner, who shot and killed his ...

  • …  for him, and everyone else. Dear Australian person:-), Please don't ever become a judge, you may miss the gazillions of clues, love your friendly neighbour..from New Zealand:-) Christine. I haven …
  • USD 100.00

    Cruz: What percentage of delegates will nominate Ted Cruz at the 2016 Republican National Conventio...

  • …  by way of action or past scandal, Republican delegates will come to their senses and back Cruz as their strongest POLITICAL candidate not their most popular mouthpiece. (Trump) 40-50% it's moderate …
  • USD 20.08

    Prediction Markets: A Better Alternative

  • …  not able to predict these results. Hubertus Hofkirchner, Chief Futurist and CEO of Prediki, which operates the global prediction platform prediki.com, talks about the advantages of modern political stock …
  • Will Ethereum overtake Bitcoin in 2017 at least on one day, and by how much?

  • …  better predictions than me: https://cointelegraph.com/news/vitalik-buterin-bitcoin-more-likely-than-ethereum-to-split-in-2017 Great lessons: I learned how Prediction Markets hold a lot of noise and lag …
  • USD 50.00

    Messages

  • … Messages -- Through messages you can contribute new information, your opinion or considerations. Good messages will influence the market prices. Therefore you should do your trades before …
  • "The Bout" - Dan O'Dowd against Elon Musk: Will a self-driving Tesla run down a child?

  • …  did not take it serious, he just tweeted a "bat shit crazy": https://www.cbsnews.com/news/super-bowl-ad-2023-the-dawn-project-tesla-dan-odowd/ So, it seems "The Bout" won't …
  • USD 0.00

    Predicting the Global Market Research Report of 2020

  • …  by Hubertus Hofkirchner -- Vienna, 19 Aug 2016 When studying the call for the ESOMAR Congress 2016 in New Orleans, we noticed excitedly that they were particularly interested in alternative …
  • What Percentage of Predictions Fail?

  • …  is of course exactly valid for economic and political decisions. So the answer is: 50% of forecasts fail. Back to the Management by Predictions Blog Follow this blog for more stories, new case studies and how …
  • 2016 Elections in Russia: Boring? Or Unfair?

  • …  to the article, the election is a decided matter. Really just boring? However, Bloomberg failed to recognise or mention the most obvious weakness of the big event, the new electoral process which puts …
  • Will current inflation be only transitory? What will US CPI be for 2022?

  • …  of the prediction question, i.e. English. Ebbs and flows are part of it. Things will return to normal sooner than expected I mean, this data is conservative Gut instinct and based on New Zealand's inflation …
  • USD 20.00

    Swiss Democracy Needs to Catch Up to Internet Age

  • … , almost 40 years ago. On August 17, the new plan was published: in future they will do their polling ... by telephone? Telephone vs. Internet While Bell's 1876 invention still has its place …
  • Il 4 dicembre 2016 ci sarà il Referendum Costituzionale. Quale percentuale di elettori voterà “Sì”?

  • … % Più di 65% Sicuramente avrete già dato un'occhiata: http://www.ilsussidiario.net/News/Politica/2016/11/6/Sondaggi-Referendum-2016-Elettorali-e-Politici-intenzioni-di-voto-ballottaggi-M5s-riduce …
  • USD 38.00
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