Wird die wirtschaftliche Blockbildung USA/China zwischen 2022 und 2025 zunehmen?

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§ Judgement rule

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Die Frage wird nach der Zu- oder Abnahme des direkten zwischenstaatlichen Handels zwischen den USA und China abgerechnet, d.h. Summe der Importe plus Exporte denominiert in USD, korrigiert um den BIP-Deflator.
Reference date: Dec. 31, 2025, 24:00 EST

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The future of USA-China Foreign Trade - Copyright: JulideIm Jahr 2021 betrugen die Exporte der USA nach China 151,1 Mrd. USD während umgekehrt die Importe der USA aus China 506,4 Mrd betrugen. Somit ergibt sich ein Gesamtvolumen von 657,5 Mrd. USD (Basis dieser Prognosefrage) und ein Handelsbilanzdefizit von -355,3 Mrd. USD.

Neben einer möglichen politischen Blockbildung und Beschränkungen des Kapitalverkehrs, welche die Handelsbeziehungen beeinflussen könnten, sind hierbei auch die als Handelskrieg bekannten Störungen der bilateralen Beziehungen zu bedenken. 

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Top 5 participants (Ranking) Credits
1. Alexander Mueller 5,428.08
2. Player conceded 5,191.72
3. Matthias Lang 188.49
4. 8283738228 0588558 154.68
5. Matt Redfern -0.01
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Countdown to final result Jan. 1, 2026, 00:00:00 2025/12/31 24:00 EST