When I asked the question in 2012 I personally thought that Morgan Stanley's prediction was far off and felt satisfied that the aggregate Prediki prediction almost instantly supported my view. We should use this method more often to debunk predictions by - on the "Surface" (pun intended) - credible sources, when they are rubbish (unintentional) or manipulative (intentional). I wonder what their analyst Kathryn Huberty is doing these days ...