Will the "Lockdown" quarantine policy of China in Q1 2020 turn out to be effective?

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Analyse (quantitative)

Timestamp	Answer option	Long (for)	Short (against)	Shares	Price %	Action	User	IP (masked)
2021/12/26 10:16:07 S	Successful policy	-34,018.19	-	-34,018.19	100.00	Final settlement	zhijuan wu
2021/12/26 10:16:07 S	Successful policy	-34,901.57	-	-34,901.57	100.00	Final settlement	Bernd Somitsch
2021/12/26 10:16:07 S	Partially successful	0.00	-	-10,238.60	0.00	Final settlement	Birgit Loitzl
2021/12/26 10:16:07 S	Partially successful	0.00	-	-26,890.14	0.00	Final settlement	Catherine L.
2021/12/26 10:16:07 S	Partially successful	0.00	-	-29,260.10	0.00	Final settlement	Aaron Galbraith
2021/12/26 10:16:07 S	Partially successful	0.00	-	-2,394.39	0.00	Final settlement	Dean Szentes
2021/12/26 10:16:07 S	Partially successful	0.00	-	-725.25	0.00	Final settlement	Regan Dempsey
2021/12/26 10:16:07 S	Partially successful	0.00	-	-11,480.04	0.00	Final settlement	Gerhard H.
2021/12/26 10:16:07 S	Partially successful	0.00	-	-37,301.88	0.00	Final settlement	Scott Bugbee
2021/12/26 10:16:07 S	Partially successful	0.00	-	-20,623.85	0.00	Final settlement	Lenka Filipovicova
2021/12/26 10:16:07 S	Partially successful	0.00	-	-4,864.93	0.00	Final settlement	Sabrine Poulson
2021/12/26 10:16:07 S	Partially successful	0.00	-	-8,878.57	0.00	Final settlement	Hubertus Hofkirchner
2021/12/26 10:16:07 S	Probably ineffective	0.00	-	-4,365.97	0.00	Final settlement	Hubertus Hofkirchner
2021/12/26 10:16:07 S	Ineffective policy	0.00	-	-58,096.78	0.00	Final settlement	Shiju John
2021/12/26 10:16:07 R	Partially successful	-8,805.99	-	-16,807.58	52.39	Reversed purchase	Dean Szentes	52af6a6c
2021/12/23 05:51:29 T	Partially successful	8,805.99	-	16,807.58	52.39	Bought	Dean Szentes	52af6a6c
2020/11/27 04:12:13 T	Partially successful	5,000.00	-	10,238.60	48.83	Bought	Birgit Loitzl	766147b8
2020/08/02 12:35:00 T	Partially successful	2,279.20	-	4,864.93	46.85	Bought	Sabrine Poulson	9479672
2020/07/25 06:11:53 T	Partially successful	2,038.38	-	4,467.42	45.63	Bought	Hubertus Hofkirchner	06a4435f
2020/07/19 10:04:21 T	Partially successful	5,000.00	-	11,480.04	43.55	Bought	Gerhard H.	109bc14c
2020/07/14 05:54:47 T	Partially successful	1,000.00	-	2,394.39	41.76	Bought	Dean Szentes	0fb24444
2020/07/05 18:33:12 T	Partially successful	300.00	-	725.25	41.37	Bought	Regan Dempsey	0f69775a
2020/07/04 18:08:44 T	Ineffective policy	10,000.00	-	58,096.78	17.21	Bought	Shiju John	b48ba9db
2020/05/01 01:18:07 T	Partially successful	8,905.80	-	20,623.85	43.18	Bought	Lenka Filipovicova	7d1980f2
2020/04/26 04:46:27 T	Partially successful	10,000.00	-	26,890.14	37.19	Bought	Catherine L.	b7784750
2020/04/26 00:29:58 T	Successful policy	10,000.00	-	34,018.19	29.40	Bought	zhijuan wu	733c9f6b
2020/04/24 18:13:10 T	Partially successful	10,000.00	-	29,260.10	34.18	Bought	Aaron Galbraith	a1a046a7
2020/04/07 23:18:41 T	Partially successful	10,000.00	-	37,301.88	26.81	Bought	Scott Bugbee	8da0e480
2020/04/05 16:16:33 T	Partially successful	1,000.00	-	4,411.15	22.67	Bought	Hubertus Hofkirchner	faebe737
2020/04/05 16:16:09 T	Probably ineffective	1,000.00	-	4,365.97	22.90	Bought	Hubertus Hofkirchner	faebe737
2020/03/16 04:07:34 T	Successful policy	10,000.00	-	34,901.57	28.65	Bought	Bernd Somitsch	115452d0

O=Opening valuation, M=Market valuation, C=Closing valuation, T=Trade, R=Reversal, S=Settlement

Timestamp	Ineffective policy	Probably ineffective	Partially successful	Successful policy
2020/11/27 04:12:13	18.53	10.52	50.18	20.77
2020/08/02 12:35:00	19.53	11.09	47.49	21.89
2020/07/25 06:11:53	20.01	11.36	46.21	22.42
2020/07/19 10:04:21	20.44	11.60	45.04	22.91
2020/07/14 05:54:47	21.55	12.23	42.07	24.15
2020/07/05 18:33:12	21.77	12.36	41.46	24.41
2020/07/04 18:08:44	21.84	12.40	41.27	24.48
2020/05/01 01:18:07	13.16	13.78	45.86	27.20
2020/04/26 04:46:27	14.45	15.13	40.53	29.88
2020/04/26 00:29:58	16.06	16.82	33.92	33.20
2020/04/24 18:13:10	17.84	18.69	37.69	25.78
2020/04/07 23:18:41	19.83	20.76	30.77	28.64
2020/04/05 16:16:33	22.03	23.07	23.08	31.82
2020/04/05 16:16:09	22.26	23.31	22.26	32.16
2020/03/16 04:07:34	22.50	22.50	22.50	32.50
2020/03/16 04:07:02	25.00	25.00	25.00	25.00