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Will global warming reach +1.5°C by 2030, and why?

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Transactions by Herbert R.

Amounts in Credits
Timestamp Answer option Long (for) Short (against) Shares Price % P&L (in Credits)
Total -2,213.39 19,647.35 +3,674.10
2018/12/08 04:10:42   T More than 2.0°C 3,333.00 - 21,728.70 15.34 -3,333.00
2018/12/08 04:10:54   T Up to 0.5°C - 3,333.00 -3,910.48 14.77 -3,333.00
2018/12/08 04:11:29   T More than 2.0°C -2,853.70 - -18,208.96 15.67 +2,853.70
2018/12/08 04:11:51   T 1.5 - 2.0 °C 500.00 - 3,535.40 14.14 -500.00
2018/12/08 04:12:00   T 1.2 - 1.5 °C 500.00 - 3,333.26 15.00 -500.00
2018/12/08 04:12:08   T 1.0 - 1.2 °C 500.00 - 3,562.90 14.03 -500.00
2018/12/08 04:12:15   T 0.8 - 1.0 °C 500.00 - 3,585.34 13.95 -500.00
2018/12/08 04:12:27   T 0.5 - 0.8 °C 500.00 - 3,601.21 13.88 -500.00
2018/12/27 10:30:14   T 1.2 - 1.5 °C -772.45 - -3,333.26 23.17 +772.45
2018/12/27 10:30:19   T 1.2 - 1.5 °C 500.00 - 2,167.81 23.06 -500.00
2018/12/27 10:30:34   T Up to 0.5°C - -3,387.15 3,910.48 13.38 +3,387.15
2018/12/27 10:30:43   T Up to 0.5°C - 3,333.00 -3,848.12 13.39 -3,333.00
2019/01/05 04:17:48   T 1.2 - 1.5 °C -502.24 - -2,167.81 23.17 +502.24
2019/01/05 04:17:52   T 1.2 - 1.5 °C 500.00 - 2,158.19 23.17 -500.00
2019/01/12 08:29:14   T More than 2.0°C -594.47 - -3,519.74 16.89 +594.47
2019/01/12 08:29:23   T More than 2.0°C 500.00 - 2,967.56 16.85 -500.00
2019/01/12 08:29:34   T Up to 0.5°C - -3,359.54 3,848.12 12.70 +3,359.54
2019/01/12 08:29:38   T Up to 0.5°C - 3,333.00 -3,817.79 12.70 -3,333.00
2019/01/20 06:52:28   T Up to 0.5°C - -3,365.97 3,817.79 11.83 +3,365.97
2019/01/20 06:52:32   T Up to 0.5°C - 3,333.00 -3,780.48 11.84 -3,333.00
2019/01/20 06:52:40   T 1.0 - 1.2 °C -611.39 - -3,562.90 17.16 +611.39
2019/01/20 06:52:43   T 1.0 - 1.2 °C 500.00 - 2,921.93 17.11 -500.00
2019/01/24 15:36:56   T 0.8 - 1.0 °C -563.10 - -3,585.34 15.71 +563.10
2019/01/24 15:37:09   T 0.8 - 1.0 °C 300.00 - 1,924.34 15.59 -300.00
2019/01/24 15:37:15   T Up to 0.5°C - -3,354.97 3,780.48 11.26 +3,354.97
2019/01/24 15:37:21   T Up to 0.5°C - 3,333.00 -3,755.77 11.26 -3,333.00
2019/01/27 04:28:48   T 0.8 - 1.0 °C -301.43 - -1,924.34 15.66 +301.43
2019/01/27 04:28:55   T 0.8 - 1.0 °C 300.00 - 1,915.23 15.66 -300.00
2019/02/10 13:07:09   T Up to 0.5°C - 0.07 -0.08 11.44 -0.07
2019/02/17 04:54:33   T 0.5 - 0.8 °C -600.52 - -3,601.21 16.68 +600.52
2019/02/17 04:54:38   T 0.5 - 0.8 °C 500.00 - 3,006.27 16.63 -500.00
2019/03/08 05:46:07   T 1.5 - 2.0 °C -890.96 - -3,535.40 25.20 +890.96
2019/03/08 05:46:11   T 1.5 - 2.0 °C 500.00 - 1,996.15 25.05 -500.00
2019/05/11 10:27:35   T Up to 0.5°C - -3,508.86 3,755.85 6.58 +3,508.86
2019/05/11 10:27:40   T Up to 0.5°C - 3,333.00 -3,567.84 6.58 -3,333.00
2019/05/11 10:28:07   T 1.0 - 1.2 °C -1,188.07 - -2,921.93 40.66 +1,188.07
2019/05/11 10:28:14   T 1.0 - 1.2 °C - 3,333.00 -5,517.59 39.59 -3,333.00
2019/05/11 10:28:43   T 0.5 - 0.8 °C 329.26 - 5,555.50 5.93 -329.26
2019/05/11 10:28:50   T 0.8 - 1.0 °C 336.24 - 3,825.11 8.79 -336.24
2019/05/11 10:28:57   T 1.2 - 1.5 °C 325.30 - 3,902.26 8.34 -325.30
2019/05/11 10:29:20   T 1.5 - 2.0 °C 115.04 - 589.98 19.50 -115.04
2019/05/11 10:29:28   T More than 2.0°C 150.40 - 1,251.84 12.01 -150.40
2019/06/17 05:43:43   T Up to 0.5°C - -3,387.12 3,567.84 5.07 +3,387.12
2019/06/17 05:43:48   T Up to 0.5°C - 3,333.00 -3,510.88 5.07 -3,333.00
2019/06/17 05:44:00   T 1.2 - 1.5 °C -969.94 - -6,060.45 16.00 +969.94
2019/06/17 05:44:10   T 1.0 - 1.2 °C - -3,617.04 5,517.59 34.45 +3,617.04
2019/06/17 05:44:15   T 1.0 - 1.2 °C - 3,333.00 -5,088.26 34.50 -3,333.00
2019/06/17 05:44:26   T 1.2 - 1.5 °C - 1,111.00 -1,314.23 15.46 -1,111.00
2019/06/17 05:44:53   T 1.5 - 2.0 °C -612.44 - -2,586.13 23.68 +612.44
2019/06/17 05:44:57   T 1.5 - 2.0 °C - 2,222.00 -2,891.89 23.16 -2,222.00
2019/06/17 05:45:11   T More than 2.0°C -416.70 - -4,219.40 9.88 +416.70
2019/06/17 05:45:17   T More than 2.0°C - 111.00 -122.89 9.67 -111.00
2023/05/12 12:55:05   T Up to 0.5°C - -3,500.97 3,510.88 0.28 +3,500.97
2023/05/12 12:55:43   T 0.8 - 1.0 °C -746.96 - -5,740.34 13.01 +746.96
2023/05/12 12:55:47   T 0.5 - 0.8 °C -1,278.26 - -8,561.78 14.93 +1,278.26
2023/05/12 12:56:16   T 0.5 - 0.8 °C - 2,000.00 -2,331.35 14.21 -2,000.00
2023/05/12 12:56:24   T 0.8 - 1.0 °C - 4,253.93 -4,867.48 12.61 -4,253.93
2024/03/19 08:36:12   T 1.5 - 2.0 °C - -2,599.22 2,891.89 10.12 +2,599.22
2024/03/19 08:37:04   T 1.2 - 1.5 °C - -905.09 1,314.23 31.13 +905.09
2024/03/19 08:37:13   T 1.0 - 1.2 °C - -3,615.77 5,088.26 28.94 +3,615.77
2024/03/19 08:38:13   T 1.0 - 1.2 °C - 2,000.00 -2,824.22 29.18 -2,000.00
2024/03/19 08:38:22   T 1.2 - 1.5 °C - 2,000.00 -2,887.80 30.74 -2,000.00
2024/11/24 10:51:05   M 0.5 - 0.8 °C - 2,136.45 -2,331.35 8.47 +2,136.45
2024/11/24 10:51:05   M 0.8 - 1.0 °C - 4,550.72 -4,867.48 6.49 +4,550.72
2024/11/24 10:51:05   M 1.0 - 1.2 °C - 2,203.60 -2,824.22 22.03 +2,203.60
2024/11/24 10:51:05   M 1.2 - 1.5 °C - 1,549.04 -2,887.80 45.98 +1,549.04
2024/11/24 10:51:05   M More than 2.0°C - 114.22 -122.89 7.23 +114.22
O=Opening valuation, M=Market valuation, C=Closing valuation, T=Trade, R=Reversal, S=Settlement