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Will US football stadiums reach pre-pandemic crowds before a COVID-19 vaccine, and when?

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Wiki article

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Bill predicts in The Economist:

Gilette Stadium - Copyright: Bernard Gagnon | Wikimedia"I believe that humanity will beat this pandemic, but only when most of the population is vaccinated. Until then, life will not return to normal. [...] Sports will be played in basically empty stadiums." [1]

Prediki definition:

We generously define 'a basically empty stadium' as one only half full, i.e. at less than 50% of capacity. We look at football stadiums, as football is the most popular sport in the USA.

Bill invests:

  • 10,000 Cr in 'Only after vaccination'

NFL Attendance 2020

Comparing the 2020 NFL attendance numbers to the 2019 average, crowds are only about 30% of the previous years.[2]


Sources

[1] The Economist - "The world after covid-19. Bill Gates on how to fight future pandemics" by Bill Gates. 23 Apr. 2020

[2] ESPN - "NFL Attendance 2019 & 2020"