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Will US airports see large crowds before a COVID-19 vaccine, and when?

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Bill predicts in The Economist:

Filled Airport - Copyright: Airport-Technology|Credit: Citizen59"I believe that humanity will beat this pandemic, but only when most of the population is vaccinated. Until then, life will not return to normal. [...] Airports won’t have large crowds." [1]

Prediki definition:

We define 'large crowds' as at least 80% of capacity prior to the pandemic. We also define in favour of Bill that such vaccine must just be available, irrespective of whether people choose to vaccinate.

Bill invests:

  • 10,000 Cr in 'Only after vaccination'

Monthly passengers on US airlines [2]

US passenger numbers by month - Copyright: United States Department of Transportation

Sources

[1] The Economist - "The world after covid-19. Bill Gates on how to fight future pandemics" by Bill Gates. 23 Apr. 2020

[2] Bureau of Transportation Statistic Releases - "September 2020 U.S. Airline Traffic Data"

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