Question
Will President Trump increase tariffs on China by the end of the semester?
Judgement rule
On February 1, Donald Trump imposed a 10% tariff on imports from China (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/02/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-imposes-tariffs-on-imports-from-canada-mexico-and-china/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which imposes additional sanctions or increases the 10% general tariff on China by the end of the semester. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
Only tariffs specifically targeting China will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Two alternatives
until
2025/04/28 24:00
New question proposed accepted on 2025/02/09 22:14:33