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Will New Demarchy produce better policy impact forecasts than professional politicians already in 2016?

Transaction logbook for Nikolaus L.

Timestamp Answer option Long (for) Short (against) Shares Price % Action IP (masked)
2020/01/11 03:23:52 S Slightly better (PI +5 to +10 %) -606.77 - -1,497.87 40.51 Final settlement
2015/12/04 14:42:40 T Slightly better (PI +5 to +10 %) 200.00 - 1,497.87 13.35 Bought VMkvWGbF
O=Opening valuation, M=Market valuation, C=Closing valuation, T=Trade, R=Reversal, S=Settlement