Will New Demarchy produce better policy impact forecasts than professional politicians already in 2016?

Transaction logbook for Hubertus Hofkirchner

Timestamp	Answer option	Long (for)	Short (against)	Shares	Price %	Action	IP (masked)
2020/01/11 03:23:52 S	A lot better (PI +30 to +50 %)	-151.60	-	-6,998.50	2.17	Final settlement
2020/01/11 03:23:52 S	Significantly better (PI +20 to +30 %)	-1,034.46	-	-31,047.85	3.33	Final settlement
2020/01/11 03:23:52 S	Better (PI +10 to +20 %)	-2,137.87	-	-7,069.93	30.24	Final settlement
2015/12/04 08:07:27 T	Significantly better (PI +20 to +30 %)	2,000.00	-	11,420.38	17.51	Bought	j8AKxyaN
2015/12/04 08:03:12 T	Significantly better (PI +20 to +30 %)	3,000.00	-	19,627.47	15.28	Bought	j8AKxyaN
2015/12/04 08:03:07 T	Significantly better (PI +20 to +30 %)	-2,936.46	-	19,245.37	15.26	Sold	j8AKxyaN
2015/12/04 08:03:01 T	Better (PI +10 to +20 %)	1,000.00	-	7,069.93	14.14	Bought	j8AKxyaN
2015/12/04 08:02:54 T	A lot better (PI +30 to +50 %)	1,000.00	-	6,998.50	14.29	Bought	j8AKxyaN
2015/12/04 08:02:49 T	Significantly better (PI +20 to +30 %)	3,000.00	-	19,245.37	15.59	Bought	j8AKxyaN

O=Opening valuation, M=Market valuation, C=Closing valuation, T=Trade, R=Reversal, S=Settlement