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Will Ethereum overtake Bitcoin in 2017 at least on one day, and by how much?

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  • Roland Kofler
    Topic Management
    Proposed result: No, 50 to 100%. ...more
    • 6 years ago
    • Hubertus Hofkirchner, Chief Futurist

      Voted "yes". Let's note that ETH finished at 32% BTC. For rational thinking and informational purposes, a straight question about the percentage at year-end may have been best.

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    Anonymous
    Sponsored: USD 40 ...more
    
        
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  • Hubertus Hofkirchner, Chief Futurist
    Edited wiki.

    Information about ETH breaking the first threshold.

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  • Hubertus Hofkirchner, Chief Futurist

    ETH/BTC Broke though 0.089 mBTC on 31 May 2017.

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    • 7 years ago
  • Hubertus Hofkirchner, Chief Futurist

    Question title violated Regulation § 5 (1) potentially misleading traders. Added "on at least one day" to make it consistent with question rule (and question owner's original intent as per earlier drafts). Also removed irrelevant descriptions which belongs in the wiki.

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    • 7 years ago
  • Prediki Predictions, Platform Operator

    Added Yes.../No... to answers, for clarity.

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    • 7 years ago
  • Prediki Predictions, Platform Operator

    The question title was too complex, which may scare off participants. Now it is better readable. The rule only mentioned ETH, added BTC for balance.

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    • 7 years ago
    • Roland Kofler
      Topic Management

      The question now is simply wrong, given that the first two answers are not "overtaking" answers.

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    • Hubertus Hofkirchner, Chief Futurist

      You have a point. Given that a question cannot be wrong, only answers, should we modify the first two answers? E.g. "No, ..." In any case, the re-formulated Question Title seems far easier to understand for new participants.

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    • Roland Kofler
      Topic Management

      I would even eliminate "by how much" and let the answers then speak for themself. Also, because our scale is multiplicative, the 4. answer is really only there to cover the infinity interval. So it doesn't really support the "and by how much" addendum.

      "No..."/ "Yes..." is great!

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    • Hubertus Hofkirchner, Chief Futurist

      In most situations, "Yes/No" gets boring quite quickly. Remember last year's question? The "by how much" hints at the two 2 answer levels. I think we can leave as is for the moment. If you have a big issue you can always do a mod to fix the language.

      PS: Language only. Regulations forbid a change in the substance of the prediction question.

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    • Roland Kofler
      Topic Management

      I'm talking about prefixing the answers with No... for the first 2 and Yes for the next 2. That is really necessary, I insist.

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    • Hubertus Hofkirchner, Chief Futurist

      Get it now. Will do.

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  • Hubertus Hofkirchner, Chief Futurist

    Answer ranges should be easier readable.

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    • 7 years ago
  • Hubertus Hofkirchner, Chief Futurist

    In afterthought, the answer option names look like hell. Here is a proposed improvement, not changing the substance of the question. The formula in the rule remains unchanged.

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    • 7 years ago
    • Roland Kofler
      Topic Management

      "Ethereum more than half of Bitcoin - 50%" doesn't make sense to me
      peak ETH below 50% BTC
      peak ETH between 50% and 100% BTC
      peak ETH between 100% and 200% BTC
      peak ETH above 200% BTC

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    • Hubertus Hofkirchner, Chief Futurist

      I guess you're right. I will try a-new. Still too much redundant text, I will try a more streamlined one.

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  • Helene Meier, Prediki Support
    Edited wiki.

    Added Flipper.

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