Will Ethereum overtake Bitcoin in 2017 at least on one day, and by how much?

Follow |   151
Recruiting
  1. Welcome. First, let us explain the four tasks in each question. This button will later bring you to the wiki with some background information to the question. Now please click the blue arrow > to continue.
  2. This button will show you the exact judgement rule which specifies how the question will be settled and the winner determined. You must accept the rule to unlock trading.
  3. Clicking here will open the trading section where you can then buy and sell predictions using your virtual credits.
  4. The last button will bring you to the market talk section. Try to convince other traders of your predictions with a good argument.
  5. The better your predictions are compared to other traders, the higher will be your share of the incentive.
  1. Welcome! First, please click the “book” icon to jump to a question's information wiki.
  1. Great! Now please click here to check the exact judgement rule.
  1. Now, let’s do your first trade together. Please click here.
  1. Last task: Now convince other traders of your answer to push its price.
  1. When finished, click here to proceed to the next question.
  2. Click here to return to the previous question.
  3. Click here to jump to any question directly.
  4. Continue to trade, talk, or rate before proceeding to the next question.
  • No questions for this search term
  1. This is how the question will be judged in the end, when the final outcome becomes known.
  2. This is the precise date or end of the period to which the question refers.
  3. After reading the judgement rule, please click here.
Close

§ Judgement rule

How will the final result of the question be determined?

Modify Final result
Criteria: Ether marketcap divided by Bitcoin marketcap on a given day (24h) gives the answer percentage. Source of judgement data: https://coinmarketcap.com/#USD. If this site ceases operation or becomes unreliable, judgement data shall be taken from the top ranked site listed on Google with the search term "crypto market capitalisation".
Reference date: Dec. 31, 2017, 24:00 UTC

Answer options

Widget Price
● No, 50 to 100%
95.45 %
● Yes, 100 to 200%
1.01 %
● Yes, 200% or more
3.52 %

Price trend

Transactions
  1. Study the background information carefully.
  2. Read the background information carefully, before proceeding.

Wiki article

Edit

Quick check tool:

First answer elimination

ETH broke through the 0.089 mBTC barrier on 31 May 2017, eliminating the answer option: "No, <50%".

ETH/BTC May 2017 - Copyright: CoinGecko Schreenshot

Ethereum Market Cap 2016 - Copyright: Coinmarketcap.com

ETHEREUM

Ethereum is a Smart Contract platform running with a crypto currency named Ether. It features unstoppable programs that are tamper-proof: "Smart Contracts".

Ether became second crypto currency in market cap in March 2016, with the release of "Homestead" the Beta version of the Platform.

Market cap peaked on June 16th when it reached 1,676,000 USD After a series of hacks and attacks, the value shrank to 800,000 USD

With the Devcon2 conference the Ethereum technology showed its strong position in Fortune 500 companies as well as in a big ecosystem of startups betting on the platform.

2017 will be uncertain with the move from Proof of Work to Proof of Stake Consensus algorithms expected mid-year.

Bitcoin Market Cap 2016 - Copyright: coinmarketcap.com

BITCOIN

Bitcoin is the leading crypto currency and the first example of a distributed consensus ledger technology called blockchain.

2016 was a strong year for Bitcoin. After two years of stagnation it market cap rose to 12MM USD in November, mastering such events of uncertainty as the miner's reward halving in June 2016 and despite ongoing division of the community over the block size parameter.

The fierce debate about this problem will make 2017 again a time of uncertainty. An initiative to do a blockchain fork (comparable to a secession in politics) could remove substantial marketcap from the main chain. If the debate is solved in consensus, though, new technologies like the lightning network and segwith could lead to a new boom for Bitcoin.

Topics

Assign
  1. Offering the reason for your trade may convince other traders to follow your opinion.
  2. Click '+' if you agree, or '–' to disagree. You get a credit for every rating you make.
  3. For each '+' the author will get +100 credits added to his trading account .
  4. If you rate a comment with "-", please reply and state your objection.
  5. Now please rate, reply, or write your own comment. Best of luck!

Reasons and arguments Analyze

USD 50
Total prize money
Top 5 participants (Ranking) Credits
1. Banned user 55,431.67
2. Michael Buckley 32,652.73
3. Shaun Carey 22,359.01
4. Basil H. 22,330.75
5. Herbert Low 18,796.81
Photo Roland Kofler
Question owner:
Roland Kofler
  • 24,789 Views
  • 113 Messages
  • 455 Transactions
This question has 151 followers