Will Elon Musk be elected as US president and when?

Follow |   12
Recruiting
  1. Welcome. First, let us explain the four tasks in each question. This button will later bring you to the wiki with some background information to the question. Now please click the blue arrow > to continue.
  2. This button will show you the exact judgement rule which specifies how the question will be settled and the winner determined. You must accept the rule to unlock trading.
  3. Clicking here will open the trading section where you can then buy and sell predictions using your virtual credits.
  4. The last button will bring you to the market talk section. Try to convince other traders of your predictions with a good argument.
  5. The better your predictions are compared to other traders, the higher will be your share of the incentive.
  1. Welcome! First, please click the “book” icon to jump to a question's information wiki.
  1. Great! Now please click here to check the exact judgement rule.
  1. Now, let’s do your first trade together. Please click here.
  1. Last task: Now convince other traders of your answer to push its price.
  1. When finished, click here to proceed to the next question.
  2. Click here to return to the previous question.
  3. Click here to jump to any question directly.
  4. Continue to trade, talk, or rate before proceeding to the next question.
  • No questions for this search term
Tradinginterface-Tutorial **close

**Antworten handeln

**Investieren Sie Ihre Credits gemäß Ihrer Einschätzung

  • {{ item.msg }}
**Antworten **Kurs (%) **Dafür **Dagegen **Kurslimit **Mögl. Gewinn **Investiert **Aktion
{{ answer.share_price | number:2 }} {{ answer.portfolio.num_shares | number:2 }} {{ answer.invested | number:2 }}
**Handelslimit für diese Frage {{ portfolio.free_credits_question | number:2 }} **Credits
  • **Investiert {{ portfolio.invested | number:2 }}
  • **Bewertung {{ portfolio.asset_valuation | number:2 }}
  • **Gewinn/Verlust (%) {{ portfolio.total_profit_loss | number:2 | removeMinus | addPlus | addPlusMinus }} ({{ portfolio.total_profit_loss_relative | number:2 | removeMinus | addPlus | addPlusMinus }})
  1. You can invest up to 10,000 of your 100,000 credits in each question.
  2. Now please select the likeliest answer and invest.
    • 1,000 credits say "Maybe"
    • 5,000 is "Probably"
    • 10,000 signal "I am certain".
    Try it now!
  1. The more you buy, the higher the price. The next trader must pay even more. Go on.
  2. Click the green check-mark to execute the trade.
  1. Deal? The system confirms if your transaction has been executed.
  2. Here you can see how many Credits you have invested so far.
  3. You can cash out your Credits at any time with the orange "C"-Button.
  1. This is how the question will be judged in the end, when the final outcome becomes known.
  2. This is the precise date or end of the period to which the question refers.
  3. After reading the judgement rule, please click here.
Close

§ Judgement rule

How will the final result of the question be determined?

Modify Final result
The question is self explaining. In case of a premature election, the correct answer shall be the subsequent regular quadrennial election year.
Reference date: Dec. 31, 2040, 24:00 EST

**Alle Antworten

**Widget einbetten **Wahrscheinlichkeit
{{ answer.share_price|number:2 }} %

Price trend

Transactions
  1. Study the background information carefully.
  2. Read the background information carefully, before proceeding.

Wiki article

Edit

Elon Musk has repeatedly denied that he wants to run for US president. Also only natural born US citizens can run and Musk only acquired citizenship on grounds of five years legitimate US residency in 2002.

So, is the future certain? Elon Musk will never be US president? Let's see:

Three hints that all may not be as clear as it seems:

1. Musk has quite a few projects on his hands, and not exactly easy ones. And still, he invested quite a large amount of money even by his standards – not to mention his even more valuable time – to acquire Twitter which is arguably one of the most powerful media companies in the world today. Control of Twitter could be decisive in a US presidential race, particularly as it is the information channel of choice for many political journalists. Already before he acquired Twitter, he famously tweeted: "Who controls the memes, controls the universe."

Maye Musk's Tweet about Citizenship - Copyright: From Twitter2. Musk also dislikes the dysfunctional two party system. He publicly supported Kanye West and Andrew Yang which shows his inclination for independent candidates.

3. The strongest indication of all is the lengthy way in which his mother, Maye Musk, obtained US citizenship, casually mentioned in her tweet from 4th of July, 2021.

Instead of going for the five year residency application like her son, she undertook a drawn out 12 year (!) process to obtain citizenship on grounds of her father being from Minnesota. So now she's a natural US citizen.

This begs a few questions:

Why would she do that? Is her natural son, Elon Musk, now a natural US citizen, too? Is Elon Musk therefore in truth already eligible to run for US president?

The future will tell. Your predictions please!

 

Topics

Assign
  1. Offering the reason for your trade may convince other traders to follow your opinion.
  2. Click '+' if you agree, or '–' to disagree. You get a credit for every rating you make.
  3. For each '+' the author will get +100 credits added to his trading account .
  4. If you rate a comment with "-", please reply and state your objection.
  5. Now please rate, reply, or write your own comment. Best of luck!

Reasons and arguments Analyze

Top 5 participants (Ranking) Credits
1. Bernd Somitsch 7,276.86
2. Ovidiu Craciun 3,842.73
3. Judy Thomas 1,316.88
4. michelle fraley 332.77
5. Andreas K. 176.14
Photo Hubertus Hofkirchner
Question owner:
Hubertus Hofkirchner
  • 8,231 Views
  • 9 Messages
  • 21 Transactions
This question has 12 followers
Countdown to final result Jan. 1, 2041, 00:00:00 2040/12/31 24:00 EST