Will China Invade Taiwan?If so, When?

Follow |   24
Recruiting
  1. Welcome. First, let us explain the four tasks in each question. This button will later bring you to the wiki with some background information to the question. Now please click the blue arrow > to continue.
  2. This button will show you the exact judgement rule which specifies how the question will be settled and the winner determined. You must accept the rule to unlock trading.
  3. Clicking here will open the trading section where you can then buy and sell predictions using your virtual credits.
  4. The last button will bring you to the market talk section. Try to convince other traders of your predictions with a good argument.
  5. The better your predictions are compared to other traders, the higher will be your share of the incentive.
  1. Welcome! First, please click the “book” icon to jump to a question's information wiki.
  1. Great! Now please click here to check the exact judgement rule.
  1. Now, let’s do your first trade together. Please click here.
  1. Last task: Now convince other traders of your answer to push its price.
  1. When finished, click here to proceed to the next question.
  2. Click here to return to the previous question.
  3. Click here to jump to any question directly.
  4. Continue to trade, talk, or rate before proceeding to the next question.
  • No questions for this search term
Tradinginterface-Tutorial **close

**Antworten handeln

**Investieren Sie Ihre Credits gemäß Ihrer Einschätzung

  • {{ item.msg }}
**Antworten **Kurs (%) **Dafür **Dagegen **Kurslimit **Mögl. Gewinn **Investiert **Aktion
{{ answer.share_price | number:2 }} {{ answer.portfolio.num_shares | number:2 }} {{ answer.invested | number:2 }}
**Handelslimit für diese Frage {{ portfolio.free_credits_question | number:2 }} **Credits
  • **Investiert {{ portfolio.invested | number:2 }}
  • **Bewertung {{ portfolio.asset_valuation | number:2 }}
  • **Gewinn/Verlust (%) {{ portfolio.total_profit_loss | number:2 | removeMinus | addPlus | addPlusMinus }} ({{ portfolio.total_profit_loss_relative | number:2 | removeMinus | addPlus | addPlusMinus }})
  1. You can invest up to 10,000 of your 100,000 credits in each question.
  2. Now please select the likeliest answer and invest.
    • 1,000 credits say "Maybe"
    • 5,000 is "Probably"
    • 10,000 signal "I am certain".
    Try it now!
  1. The more you buy, the higher the price. The next trader must pay even more. Go on.
  2. Click the green check-mark to execute the trade.
  1. Deal? The system confirms if your transaction has been executed.
  2. Here you can see how many Credits you have invested so far.
  3. You can cash out your Credits at any time with the orange "C"-Button.
  1. This is how the question will be judged in the end, when the final outcome becomes known.
  2. This is the precise date or end of the period to which the question refers.
  3. After reading the judgement rule, please click here.
Close

§ Judgement rule

How will the final result of the question be determined?

Modify Final result
1.) If China officially declares/goes into an act of war against Taiwan in the years 2023-2025 then Option "2023-2025" wins 2.) If China officially declares/goes into an act of war against Taiwan in the years 2026-2030 then Option "2026-2030" wins 3.) If China does not declare/goes into an act of war against Taiwan by the start of 2031 Option "not invade" wins.
Reference date: Jan. 1, 2031, 24:00 GMT

**Alle Antworten

**Widget einbetten **Wahrscheinlichkeit
{{ answer.share_price | number:2 }} %

Price trend

Transactions
  1. Study the background information carefully.
  2. Read the background information carefully, before proceeding.

Wiki article

Edit
No analysis article yet

Topics

Assign
  1. Offering the reason for your trade may convince other traders to follow your opinion.
  2. Click '+' if you agree, or '–' to disagree. You get a credit for every rating you make.
  3. For each '+' the author will get +100 credits added to his trading account .
  4. If you rate a comment with "-", please reply and state your objection.
  5. Now please rate, reply, or write your own comment. Best of luck!

Reasons and arguments Analyze

Top 5 participants (Ranking) Credits
1. Tomas Garcia Herreros Rodriguez 1,428.67
2. Zhuoran Yang 1,422.41
3. Jeffrey Benjamin Yu 915.53
4. Sofia Gallardo 659.51
5. Greeshma Chandran 476.21
Photo Blue Team
Question owner:
Blue Team
  • 889 Views
  • 7 Messages
  • 43 Transactions
This question has 24 followers
Countdown to final result Jan. 1, 2031, 19:00:00 2031/01/01 24:00 GMT