Who will win the democratic nomination 2020?

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Analyse (quantitative)

Timestamp	Answer option	Long (for)	Short (against)	Shares	Price %	Action	User	IP (masked)
2022/02/01 04:20:25 S	Other candidate	0.00	-	-20,346.93	0.00	Final settlement	Ben Dempsey
2022/02/01 04:20:25 S	Other candidate	-	-1.32	-1.33	0.00	Final settlement	Daniel Song
2022/02/01 04:20:25 S	Joe Biden	-3.93	-	-3.94	100.00	Final settlement	Daniel Song
2022/02/01 04:20:25 S	Joe Biden	-3,000.37	-	-3,000.38	100.00	Final settlement	dante allegerie
2022/02/01 04:20:25 S	Joe Biden	-450.55	-	-450.55	100.00	Final settlement	Lavina Coutinho
2022/02/01 04:20:25 S	Elizabeth Warren	-	-1.31	-1.31	0.00	Final settlement	Daniel Song
2022/02/01 04:20:25 S	Elizabeth Warren	-	-2,984.41	-2,984.41	0.00	Final settlement	dante allegerie
2022/02/01 04:20:25 S	Bernie Sanders	0.00	-	-3.82	0.00	Final settlement	Daniel Song
2022/02/01 04:20:25 S	Bernie Sanders	0.00	-	-5,819.01	0.00	Final settlement	dante allegerie
2022/01/11 23:09:57 T	Other candidate	-6,168.14	-	19,916.14	30.97	Sold	Suresh Babu	59f7e79c
2021/04/07 11:29:34 T	Other candidate	6,168.15	-	19,916.14	30.97	Bought	Suresh Babu	be54d1c1
2021/04/07 11:29:02 T	Bernie Sanders	-7,524.77	-	27,375.58	27.49	Sold	Suresh Babu	be54d1c1
2021/01/24 05:03:16 T	Joe Biden	100.00	-	450.55	22.19	Bought	Lavina Coutinho	ae54314
2020/02/09 16:06:32 T	Other candidate	5,000.00	-	20,346.93	24.57	Bought	Ben Dempsey	dc98da0
2020/02/04 03:56:28 T	Bernie Sanders	7,958.07	-	27,375.58	29.07	Bought	Suresh Babu	be54d1c1
2020/02/03 19:05:52 T	Bernie Sanders	1.00	-	3.82	26.16	Bought	Daniel Song	8d57ba8b
2020/02/03 19:05:42 T	Joe Biden	1.00	-	3.94	25.39	Bought	Daniel Song	8d57ba8b
2020/02/03 19:05:20 T	Elizabeth Warren	-	1.00	1.31	23.84	Bought	Daniel Song	8d57ba8b
2020/02/03 19:04:42 T	Other candidate	-	1.00	1.33	24.60	Bought	Daniel Song	8d57ba8b
2020/01/16 02:53:33 T	Joe Biden	1,000.00	-	3,000.38	33.33	Bought	dante allegerie	8262e667
2020/01/16 02:53:16 T	Bernie Sanders	2,000.00	-	5,819.01	34.37	Bought	dante allegerie	8262e667
2020/01/16 02:52:59 T	Elizabeth Warren	-	2,000.00	2,984.41	32.99	Bought	dante allegerie	8262e667

O=Opening valuation, M=Market valuation, C=Closing valuation, T=Trade, R=Reversal, S=Settlement

Timestamp	Bernie Sanders	Elizabeth Warren	Joe Biden	Other candidate
2022/01/11 23:09:57	24.68	22.49	24.07	28.76
2021/04/07 11:29:34	23.13	21.08	22.56	33.24
2021/04/07 11:29:02	24.68	22.49	24.07	28.76
2021/01/24 05:03:16	30.42	20.78	22.24	26.57
2020/02/09 16:06:32	30.45	20.80	22.15	26.60
2020/02/04 03:56:28	32.10	21.92	23.35	22.62
2020/02/03 19:05:52	26.16	23.84	25.39	24.60
2020/02/03 19:05:42	26.16	23.84	25.40	24.60
2020/02/03 19:05:20	26.16	23.84	25.39	24.60
2020/02/03 19:04:42	26.16	23.84	25.39	24.60
2020/01/16 03:44:14	26.16	23.84	25.39	24.60
2020/01/16 02:53:33	34.70	31.62	33.68
2020/01/16 02:53:16	35.06	31.96	32.98
2020/01/16 02:52:59	33.68	32.64	33.68
2020/01/16 02:47:30	33.33	33.33	33.33