Which republican candidate will be considered as most trustworthy by Americans?

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§ Judgement rule

How will the final result of the question be determined?

Modify Final result
The question will be judged by the result of a questionnaire survey by Globaltestmarkets asking a representative sample of US voters the question: "How trustworthy do you think these people are?"
Reference date: Jan. 31, 2016, 24:00 EST

Answer options

Widget Price
● Donald Trump
69.63 %
● Ben Carson
10.65 %
● Marco Rubio
5.73 %
● Ted Cruz
4.96 %
● Jeb Bush
4.59 %
● Another candidate
4.42 %

Price trend

Transactions
  1. Study the background information carefully.
  2. Read the background information carefully, before proceeding.

Wiki article

Edit

Instructions

With your help, we want to predict the future of the 2016 U.S. primaries. The better your predictions in this trading game, the more credit profits you make. There is even some prize money for the best forecasters.

Participation is easy, just follow the square icons on top of this page:

  1. Book: Read this wiki article
  2. Rule §: Understand the judgement rule
  3. Chart: Trade according to your predictions
  4. Talk: Tell others why you bought or sold
  5. 2 >>: Click for the next question

Buy answers you think more likely or sell those where you think the current market price is too high.

Background

Please consider which of the candidates U.S. voters (not you, personally!) will trust most, then do your trade. (Click the chart symbol on top to start trading.) Earn extra credits by sharing your thoughts about why American voters may or may not trust a particular candidate.

The candidates

For a candidate not listed below, please invest your Credits in the answer option "Another candidate".

Ted CruzDonald TrumpMarco RubioBen CarsonJeb Bush
Ted Cruz official portrait 113th Congress - Copyright: United States Senate. Licensed under Public Domain.Donald Trump, August 19 - Copyright: Michael Vadon. Licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0.Marco Rubio, 112th Congress - Copyright: US Government. Licensed under Public Domain.Ben Carson - Copyright: Gage Skidmore. Licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0.Jeb Bush - Jan 2016 town hall meeting Ankeny Iowa - Copyright: by Gage Skidmore. Licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0.

Final Settlement

The result of Globaltestmarket's survey regarding the trustworthiness of republican presidential candidates are as follows:

Trustworthiness of Republican Candidates - Copyright: Prediki

Topics

Assign
  1. Offering the reason for your trade may convince other traders to follow your opinion.
  2. Click '+' if you agree, or '–' to disagree. You get a credit for every rating you make.
  3. For each '+' the author will get +100 credits added to his trading account .
  4. If you rate a comment with "-", please reply and state your objection.
  5. Now please rate, reply, or write your own comment. Best of luck!

Reasons and arguments Analyze

USD 20
Total prize money
Top 5 participants (Ranking) Credits
1. njb njb 112,089.47
2. Dominique Kupfer 36,627.11
3. Joe Mendiola 15,618.08
4. Danny Magruder 14,980.20
5. SJ Finney 11,653.99
Photo Prediki Predictions
Question owner:
Prediki Predictions
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