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When will researchers find an effective treatment for the next novel virus?

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  • Modification proposal 1 accepted on 2020/05/06 07:13:00

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    Question
    When will researchers find an effective treatment for the next novel virus?
    Judgement rule
    The question will be judged by the time it takes from the discovery of the next novel virus to the availability of an effective antiviral treatment.
    The question will be judged by the time it takes from the discovery of the next novel virus to the availability of an effective antiviral treatment, fully approved by a reputable health authority. Emergency use authorisation shall not count as full approval.
    Question type
    Ordered answer scale
    Answers
    • 1. (12.50%) 1st month
    • 2. (12.50%) 2nd month
    • 3. (12.50%) 3rd month
    • 4. (12.50%) 4th - 6th month
    • 5. (12.50%) 7th - 9th month
    • 6. (12.50%) 10th - 12th month
    • 7. (12.50%) 13th month or later
    • 8. (12.50%) Never
    Time zone
    US/Pacific
    Reference date:
    2030/12/31 24:00
    Result expected on
    2030/12/31 24:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until