What percentage of Australian new car sales in 2015 will be cars with computerized automated parking and / or self driving capability?

Follow |   180
Recruiting
  1. Welcome. First, let us explain the four tasks in each question. This button will later bring you to the wiki with some background information to the question. Now please click the blue arrow > to continue.
  2. This button will show you the exact judgement rule which specifies how the question will be settled and the winner determined. You must accept the rule to unlock trading.
  3. Clicking here will open the trading section where you can then buy and sell predictions using your virtual credits.
  4. The last button will bring you to the market talk section. Try to convince other traders of your predictions with a good argument.
  5. The better your predictions are compared to other traders, the higher will be your share of the incentive.
  1. Welcome! First, please click the “book” icon to jump to a question's information wiki.
  1. Great! Now please click here to check the exact judgement rule.
  1. Now, let’s do your first trade together. Please click here.
  1. Last task: Now convince other traders of your answer to push its price.
  1. When finished, click here to proceed to the next question.
  2. Click here to return to the previous question.
  3. Click here to jump to any question directly.
  4. Continue to trade, talk, or rate before proceeding to the next question.
  • No questions for this search term
  1. This is how the question will be judged in the end, when the final outcome becomes known.
  2. This is the precise date or end of the period to which the question refers.
  3. After reading the judgement rule, please click here.
Close

§ Judgement rule

How will the final result of the question be determined?

Modify Final result
The interdependently verified data on new car sales in 2015. "Automated parking" and "self-driving capability" means any feature being promoted as assisting the driver by having the cars computer make decisions about steering, braking and accelerating the vehicle independently of the driver. Does not include features not advertised as such, e.g traction control.
Reference date: Dec. 31, 2015, 24:00 AEDT

Answer options

Widget Price
● More than 75% of new vehicles sales
1.12 %
● 50% - 75% of new vehicle sales
18.05 %
● 25% - 50% of new vehicle sales
11.25 %
● Up to 25% of new vehicle sales
69.57 %

Price trend

Transactions
  1. Study the background information carefully.
  2. Read the background information carefully, before proceeding.

Wiki article

Edit

Background

Wikipedia articles: Vehicular automation: Cars, Autonomous car

Interpretation of the judgement rule

The question's answer options intend to specify statistical quartiles. The upper boundary is considered as included, the lower boundary as excluded from the answer's range.

Studies

For 35 percent of drivers, parallel parking is the most challenging activity; for 19 percent, reversing in and out of spaces and for 16 percent, avoiding pedestrians in parking lots. [2]

Recent developments

  1. Self-driving cars: The next revolution - KPMG LLP and the Center for Automotive Research (CAR), 2012
  2. Study Says 66 Percent of Drivers Want Cars with Active Safety Tech - Motor Trend, November 27, 2012

Topics

Assign
  1. Offering the reason for your trade may convince other traders to follow your opinion.
  2. Click '+' if you agree, or '–' to disagree. You get a credit for every rating you make.
  3. For each '+' the author will get +100 credits added to his trading account .
  4. If you rate a comment with "-", please reply and state your objection.
  5. Now please rate, reply, or write your own comment. Best of luck!

Reasons and arguments Analyze

USD 10
Total prize money
Top 5 participants (Ranking) Credits
1. Günther Fädler 11,306.97
2. Benedikt Breinbauer 7,529.46
3. song bing 6,287.72
4. Ita Mutiara Dewi 4,310.94
5. Anthony Lo Gelfo 4,198.72
Photo Peter Carr
Question owner:
Peter Carr
  • 11,438 Views
  • 66 Messages
  • 579 Transactions
This question has 180 followers