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Crowdsourcing: What percentage level of interest will Prediction Markets reach by 2020 compared to Market Research, and why?

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Analyse (quantitative)
Timestamp Answer option Long (for) Short (against) Shares Price % Action User IP (masked)
2022/09/12 10:14:56 S More than 50% - -5,411.50 -5,411.50 0.00 Final settlement Ray Poynter
2022/09/12 10:14:56 S 30 - 50% 0.00 - -11,170.84 0.00 Final settlement Thomas Hill
2022/09/12 10:14:56 S 30 - 50% 0.00 - -17,019.84 0.00 Final settlement Colleen Ryan
2022/09/12 10:14:56 S 30 - 50% - -9,654.45 -9,654.45 0.00 Final settlement Michael Francesco Alioto
2022/09/12 10:14:56 S 20 - 30% - -5,641.13 -5,641.14 0.00 Final settlement Orkan Dolay
2022/09/12 10:14:56 S 20 - 30% 0.00 - -33,782.18 0.00 Final settlement Colleen Ryan
2022/09/12 10:14:56 S 10 - 20% - 0.00 -6,017.88 100.00 Final settlement Orkan Dolay
2022/09/12 10:14:56 S 10 - 20% -6,700.20 - -6,700.21 100.00 Final settlement Massimo CEALTI
2022/09/12 10:14:56 S 10 - 20% -32,915.25 - -32,915.25 100.00 Final settlement Brad Marsh
2022/09/12 10:14:56 S 10 - 20% -22,926.24 - -22,926.25 100.00 Final settlement Colleen Ryan
2022/09/12 10:14:56 S 10 - 20% -16,800.49 - -16,800.49 100.00 Final settlement David Reckner
2022/09/12 10:14:56 S 5 - 10% 0.00 - -20,849.18 0.00 Final settlement Matt Belson
2022/09/12 10:14:56 S 5 - 10% - -281.96 -281.97 0.00 Final settlement RS Evans
2022/09/12 10:14:56 S 5 - 10% 0.00 - -38,462.90 0.00 Final settlement Dan Foreman
2022/09/12 10:14:56 S 5 - 10% 0.00 - -28,147.04 0.00 Final settlement Massimo CEALTI
2022/09/12 10:14:56 S 5 - 10% 0.00 - -64,628.56 0.00 Final settlement Christine Caggia-Porruncini
2022/09/12 10:14:56 S 2 - 5% 0.00 - -19,557.03 0.00 Final settlement Matt Belson
2022/09/12 10:14:56 S 2 - 5% 0.00 - -71,735.51 0.00 Final settlement Laurent Soldermann
2022/09/12 10:14:56 S 2 - 5% 0.00 - -22,470.06 0.00 Final settlement Pieter Paul Verheggen
2017/09/18 14:01:22 T 5 - 10% 6,000.00 - 20,849.18 28.78 Bought Matt Belson 8df9c81f
2017/09/18 14:01:16 T 2 - 5% 4,000.00 - 19,557.03 20.45 Bought Matt Belson 8df9c81f
2017/09/10 10:43:45 T 5 - 10% 1,825.00 - 6,758.86 27.00 Bought Massimo CEALTI 928d9284
2017/09/10 10:43:28 T 10 - 20% -1,607.99 - 9,992.54 16.09 Sold Massimo CEALTI 928d9284
2016/10/26 09:11:16 T 2 - 5% 10,000.00 - 71,735.51 13.94 Bought Laurent Soldermann NPMi576S
2016/10/26 04:42:56 T 30 - 50% 1,000.00 - 11,170.84 8.95 Bought Thomas Hill NPMi576S
2016/10/07 15:42:34 T 5 - 10% - 200.00 281.97 29.07 Bought RS Evans yZ#o4D6g
2016/10/07 14:01:17 T More than 50% - 5,000.00 5,411.50 7.60 Bought Ray Poynter ZtE8djiC
2016/10/07 08:46:13 T 2 - 5% 2,000.00 - 22,470.06 8.90 Bought Pieter Paul Verheggen BLPRmB#5
2016/10/07 08:46:07 T 5 - 10% -1,000.00 - 3,337.77 29.96 Sold Pieter Paul Verheggen BLPRmB#5
2016/10/07 08:45:53 T 5 - 10% 1,000.00 - 3,337.77 29.96 Bought Pieter Paul Verheggen BLPRmB#5
2016/09/22 16:33:48 T 10 - 20% 3,000.00 - 16,800.49 17.86 Bought David Reckner 6fX4BxQb
2016/09/21 14:02:07 T 20 - 30% - 5,000.00 5,641.14 11.37 Bought Orkan Dolay 1Tauysrs
2016/09/21 14:01:58 T 10 - 20% - 5,000.00 6,017.88 16.91 Bought Orkan Dolay 1Tauysrs
2016/09/21 11:05:39 T 5 - 10% 10,000.00 - 38,462.90 26.00 Bought Dan Foreman 1Tauysrs
2016/09/21 11:04:10 T 10 - 20% 3,000.00 - 16,692.75 17.97 Bought Massimo CEALTI E3rLPsRO
2016/09/21 10:57:18 T 5 - 10% 4,500.00 - 21,388.18 21.04 Bought Massimo CEALTI E3rLPsRO
2016/09/20 12:08:56 T 10 - 20% 5,000.00 - 32,915.25 15.19 Bought Brad Marsh 1Tauysrs
2016/09/20 11:13:52 T 5 - 10% 10,000.00 - 64,628.56 15.47 Bought Christine Caggia-Porruncini 1Tauysrs
2016/09/19 19:55:10 T 10 - 20% 3,000.00 - 22,926.25 13.09 Bought Colleen Ryan 1Tauysrs
2016/09/19 19:55:03 T 30 - 50% 2,000.00 - 17,019.84 11.75 Bought Colleen Ryan 1Tauysrs
2016/09/19 19:54:12 T 20 - 30% 5,000.00 - 33,782.18 14.80 Bought Colleen Ryan 1Tauysrs
2016/09/18 20:28:51 T 30 - 50% - 8,500.00 9,654.45 11.96 Bought Michael Francesco Alioto 1Tauysrs
O=Opening valuation, M=Market valuation, C=Closing valuation, T=Trade, R=Reversal, S=Settlement
Timestamp 0 - 1% 1 - 2% 2 - 5% 5 - 10% 10 - 20% 20 - 30% 30 - 50% More than 50%
2017/09/18 14:01:22 6.27 6.27 20.80 31.06 13.59 8.44 7.63 5.93
2017/09/18 14:01:16 6.68 6.68 22.16 26.56 14.47 8.99 8.13 6.31
2017/09/10 10:43:45 6.97 6.97 18.81 27.71 15.10 9.38 8.48 6.59
2017/09/10 10:43:28 7.11 7.11 19.18 26.30 15.39 9.56 8.64 6.71
2016/10/26 09:11:16 6.99 6.99 18.85 25.86 16.81 9.40 8.50 6.60
2016/10/26 04:42:56 7.76 7.76 9.84 28.74 18.68 10.44 9.44 7.33
2016/10/07 15:42:34 7.85 7.85 9.94 29.04 18.88 10.56 8.48 7.41
2016/10/07 14:01:17 7.84 7.84 9.93 29.10 18.86 10.55 8.47 7.41
2016/10/07 08:46:13 7.81 7.81 9.89 28.97 18.78 10.50 8.44 7.81
2016/10/07 08:46:07 7.97 7.97 7.97 29.59 19.18 10.72 8.62 7.97
2016/10/07 08:45:53 7.89 7.89 7.89 30.33 18.98 10.61 8.53 7.89
2016/09/22 16:33:48 7.97 7.97 7.97 29.59 19.18 10.72 8.62 7.97
2016/09/21 14:02:07 8.23 8.23 8.23 30.54 16.58 11.07 8.89 8.23
2016/09/21 14:01:58 8.17 8.17 8.17 30.34 16.47 11.67 8.83 8.17
2016/09/21 11:05:39 8.09 8.09 8.09 30.01 17.36 11.54 8.74 8.09
2016/09/21 11:04:10 8.98 8.98 8.98 22.24 19.29 12.83 9.71 8.98
2016/09/21 10:57:18 9.27 9.27 9.27 22.95 16.70 13.24 10.02 9.27
2016/09/20 12:08:56 9.72 9.72 9.72 19.21 17.51 13.88 10.51 9.72
2016/09/20 11:13:52 10.25 10.25 10.25 20.25 13.05 14.63 11.08 10.25
2016/09/19 19:55:10 11.39 11.39 11.39 11.39 14.50 16.26 12.31 11.39
2016/09/19 19:55:03 11.75 11.75 11.75 11.75 11.75 16.78 12.70 11.75
2016/09/19 19:54:12 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 17.14 10.84 12.00
2016/09/18 20:28:51 12.65 12.65 12.65 12.65 12.65 12.65 11.43 12.65
2016/09/13 11:30:10 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50