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"The Bout" - Dan O'Dowd against Elon Musk: Will a self-driving Tesla run down a child?

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  • Prediki Predictions, Platform Operator
    Modification proposal 2 accepted on 2022/09/08 12:41:09

    Improved question title.

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    Question
    The Bout Dan O'Dowd vs. Elon Musk: Will a self-driving Tesla run down a child?
    "The Bout" - Dan O'Dowd against Elon Musk: Will a self-driving Tesla run down a child?
    Judgement rule
    Tech billionaire Dan O'Dowd publicly challenged Tesla founder Elon Musk to a "Bout to end all Doubt", a public test if a self-driving Tesla will run down a child-sized dummy. Possible outcomes are as follows: If the event does not proceed within a year, the question will be judged "Undecided". If Tesla thinks the test deceptive or manipulative they may sue the Dawn Project or Dan O'Dowd, e.g. for libel. The test may proceed with a current FSD Beta version (latest 10.69.1) or a newer one.
    https://dawnproject.com/the-bout-to-end-all-doubt-dan-odowd-challenges-elon-musk-to-publicly-test-a-self-driving-tesla-to-determine-if-it-will-run-down-a-child/
    Question type
    Ordered answer scale
    Answers
    • 1. (20.00%) Dummy is hit, and Tesla does not sue
    • 2. (20.00%) Dummy is hit, and Tesla sues
    • 3. (20.00%) Undecided (no bout)
    • 4. (20.00%) Dummy is not hit. with a newer FSD version
    • 5. (20.00%) Dummy is not hit, with a current FSD version
    Time zone
    America/Los_Angeles
    Reference date:
    2022/09/06 24:00
    Result expected on
    2023/09/06 24:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until  
  • Prediki Predictions, Platform Operator
    New question proposed accepted on 2022/09/08 09:00:15
    Profile picture
    
        
    or cancel

    Question
    The Bout Dan O'Dowd vs. Elon Musk: Will a self-driving Tesla run down a child?
    Judgement rule
    Tech billionaire Dan O'Dowd publicly challenged Tesla founder Elon Musk to a "Bout to end all Doubt", a public test if a self-driving Tesla will run down a child-sized dummy. Possible outcomes are as follows: If the event does not proceed within a year, the question will be judged "Undecided". If Tesla thinks the test deceptive or manipulative they may sue the Dawn Project or Dan O'Dowd, e.g. for libel. The test may proceed with a current FSD Beta version (latest 10.69.1) or a newer one.
    https://dawnproject.com/the-bout-to-end-all-doubt-dan-odowd-challenges-elon-musk-to-publicly-test-a-self-driving-tesla-to-determine-if-it-will-run-down-a-child/
    Question type
    Ordered answer scale
    Answers
    • 1. (20.00%) Dummy is hit, and Tesla does not sue
    • 2. (20.00%) Dummy is hit, and Tesla sues
    • 3. (20.00%) Undecided (no bout)
    • 4. (20.00%) Dummy is not hit. with a newer FSD version
    • 5. (20.00%) Dummy is not hit, with a current FSD version
    Time zone
    America/Los_Angeles
    Reference date:
    2022/09/06 24:00
    Result expected on
    2023/09/06 24:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until