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Title of predictive question:
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Judgement rule:
Question type:
Two alternatives
Binary question, e.g. "Will a Mission to Mars be approved by 2015?"
Several alternatives (unordered)
Discrete question, e.g. "Which country will send the first mission to Mars?"
Answer scale (ordered)
Scaled question: the median, not the most likely answer, is the prediction.
A number
Not active yet. Please use "Ordered answers" for now.
A point in time
Not active yet. Please use "Ordered answers" for now.
Reference date:
The (final) point in time to which the question refers.
Result expected on:
When to expect the public result announcement?
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Time zone:
Africa / Abidjan
Africa / Accra
Africa / Addis Ababa
Africa / Algiers
Africa / Asmara
Africa / Bamako
Africa / Bangui
Africa / Banjul
Africa / Bissau
Africa / Blantyre
Africa / Brazzaville
Africa / Bujumbura
Africa / Cairo
Africa / Casablanca
Africa / Ceuta
Africa / Conakry
Africa / Dakar
Africa / Dar es Salaam
Africa / Djibouti
Africa / Douala
Africa / El Aaiun
Africa / Freetown
Africa / Gaborone
Africa / Harare
Africa / Johannesburg
Africa / Kampala
Africa / Khartoum
Africa / Kigali
Africa / Kinshasa
Africa / Lagos
Africa / Libreville
Africa / Lome
Africa / Luanda
Africa / Lubumbashi
Africa / Lusaka
Africa / Malabo
Africa / Maputo
Africa / Maseru
Africa / Mbabane
Africa / Mogadishu
Africa / Monrovia
Africa / Nairobi
Africa / Ndjamena
Africa / Niamey
Africa / Nouakchott
Africa / Ouagadougou
Africa / Porto-Novo
Africa / Sao Tome
Africa / Tripoli
Africa / Tunis
Africa / Windhoek
America / Adak
America / Anchorage
America / Anguilla
America / Antigua
America / Araguaina
America / Argentina / Buenos Aires
America / Argentina / Catamarca
America / Argentina / Cordoba
America / Argentina / Jujuy
America / Argentina / La Rioja
America / Argentina / Mendoza
America / Argentina / Rio Gallegos
America / Argentina / Salta
America / Argentina / San Juan
America / Argentina / San Luis
America / Argentina / Tucuman
America / Argentina / Ushuaia
America / Aruba
America / Asuncion
America / Atikokan
America / Bahia
America / Bahia Banderas
America / Barbados
America / Belem
America / Belize
America / Blanc-Sablon
America / Boa Vista
America / Bogota
America / Boise
America / Cambridge Bay
America / Campo Grande
America / Cancun
America / Caracas
America / Cayenne
America / Cayman
America / Chicago
America / Chihuahua
America / Costa Rica
America / Cuiaba
America / Curacao
America / Danmarkshavn
America / Dawson
America / Dawson Creek
America / Denver
America / Detroit
America / Dominica
America / Edmonton
America / Eirunepe
America / El Salvador
America / Fortaleza
America / Glace Bay
America / Godthab
America / Goose Bay
America / Grand Turk
America / Grenada
America / Guadeloupe
America / Guatemala
America / Guayaquil
America / Guyana
America / Halifax
America / Havana
America / Hermosillo
America / Indiana / Indianapolis
America / Indiana / Knox
America / Indiana / Marengo
America / Indiana / Petersburg
America / Indiana / Tell City
America / Indiana / Vevay
America / Indiana / Vincennes
America / Indiana / Winamac
America / Inuvik
America / Iqaluit
America / Jamaica
America / Juneau
America / Kentucky / Louisville
America / Kentucky / Monticello
America / Kralendijk
America / La Paz
America / Lima
America / Los Angeles
America / Lower Princes
America / Maceio
America / Managua
America / Manaus
America / Marigot
America / Martinique
America / Matamoros
America / Mazatlan
America / Menominee
America / Merida
America / Metlakatla
America / Mexico City
America / Miquelon
America / Moncton
America / Monterrey
America / Montevideo
America / Montreal
America / Montserrat
America / Nassau
America / New York
America / Nipigon
America / Nome
America / Noronha
America / North Dakota / Beulah
America / North Dakota / Center
America / North Dakota / New Salem
America / Ojinaga
America / Panama
America / Pangnirtung
America / Paramaribo
America / Phoenix
America / Port-au-Prince
America / Port of Spain
America / Porto Velho
America / Puerto Rico
America / Rainy River
America / Rankin Inlet
America / Recife
America / Regina
America / Resolute
America / Rio Branco
America / Santa Isabel
America / Santarem
America / Santiago
America / Santo Domingo
America / Sao Paulo
America / Scoresbysund
America / Shiprock
America / Sitka
America / St Barthelemy
America / St Johns
America / St Kitts
America / St Lucia
America / St Thomas
America / St Vincent
America / Swift Current
America / Tegucigalpa
America / Thule
America / Thunder Bay
America / Tijuana
America / Toronto
America / Tortola
America / Vancouver
America / Whitehorse
America / Winnipeg
America / Yakutat
America / Yellowknife
Antarctica / Casey
Antarctica / Davis
Antarctica / DumontDUrville
Antarctica / Macquarie
Antarctica / Mawson
Antarctica / McMurdo
Antarctica / Palmer
Antarctica / Rothera
Antarctica / South Pole
Antarctica / Syowa
Antarctica / Vostok
Asia / Aden
Asia / Almaty
Asia / Amman
Asia / Anadyr
Asia / Aqtau
Asia / Aqtobe
Asia / Ashgabat
Asia / Baghdad
Asia / Bahrain
Asia / Baku
Asia / Bangkok
Asia / Beirut
Asia / Bishkek
Asia / Brunei
Asia / Choibalsan
Asia / Chongqing
Asia / Colombo
Asia / Damascus
Asia / Dhaka
Asia / Dili
Asia / Dubai
Asia / Dushanbe
Asia / Gaza
Asia / Harbin
Asia / Ho Chi Minh
Asia / Hong Kong
Asia / Hovd
Asia / Irkutsk
Asia / Jakarta
Asia / Jayapura
Asia / Jerusalem
Asia / Kabul
Asia / Kamchatka
Asia / Karachi
Asia / Kashgar
Asia / Kathmandu
Asia / Kolkata
Asia / Krasnoyarsk
Asia / Kuala Lumpur
Asia / Kuching
Asia / Kuwait
Asia / Macau
Asia / Magadan
Asia / Makassar
Asia / Manila
Asia / Muscat
Asia / Nicosia
Asia / Novokuznetsk
Asia / Novosibirsk
Asia / Omsk
Asia / Oral
Asia / Phnom Penh
Asia / Pontianak
Asia / Pyongyang
Asia / Qatar
Asia / Qyzylorda
Asia / Rangoon
Asia / Riyadh
Asia / Sakhalin
Asia / Samarkand
Asia / Seoul
Asia / Shanghai
Asia / Singapore
Asia / Taipei
Asia / Tashkent
Asia / Tbilisi
Asia / Tehran
Asia / Thimphu
Asia / Tokyo
Asia / Ulaanbaatar
Asia / Urumqi
Asia / Vientiane
Asia / Vladivostok
Asia / Yakutsk
Asia / Yekaterinburg
Asia / Yerevan
Atlantic / Azores
Atlantic / Bermuda
Atlantic / Canary
Atlantic / Cape Verde
Atlantic / Faroe
Atlantic / Madeira
Atlantic / Reykjavik
Atlantic / South Georgia
Atlantic / St Helena
Atlantic / Stanley
Australia / Adelaide
Australia / Brisbane
Australia / Broken Hill
Australia / Currie
Australia / Darwin
Australia / Eucla
Australia / Hobart
Australia / Lindeman
Australia / Lord Howe
Australia / Melbourne
Australia / Perth
Australia / Sydney
Europe / Amsterdam
Europe / Andorra
Europe / Athens
Europe / Belgrade
Europe / Berlin
Europe / Bratislava
Europe / Brussels
Europe / Bucharest
Europe / Budapest
Europe / Chisinau
Europe / Copenhagen
Europe / Dublin
Europe / Gibraltar
Europe / Guernsey
Europe / Helsinki
Europe / Isle of Man
Europe / Istanbul
Europe / Jersey
Europe / Kaliningrad
Europe / Kiev
Europe / Lisbon
Europe / Ljubljana
Europe / London
Europe / Luxembourg
Europe / Madrid
Europe / Malta
Europe / Mariehamn
Europe / Minsk
Europe / Monaco
Europe / Moscow
Europe / Oslo
Europe / Paris
Europe / Podgorica
Europe / Prague
Europe / Riga
Europe / Rome
Europe / Samara
Europe / San Marino
Europe / Sarajevo
Europe / Simferopol
Europe / Skopje
Europe / Sofia
Europe / Stockholm
Europe / Tallinn
Europe / Tirane
Europe / Uzhgorod
Europe / Vaduz
Europe / Vatican
Europe / Vienna
Europe / Vilnius
Europe / Volgograd
Europe / Warsaw
Europe / Zagreb
Europe / Zaporozhye
Europe / Zurich
Arctic / Longyearbyen
Canada / Atlantic
Canada / Central
Canada / Eastern
Canada / Mountain
Canada / Newfoundland
Canada / Pacific
GMT
Indian / Antananarivo
Indian / Chagos
Indian / Christmas
Indian / Cocos
Indian / Comoro
Indian / Kerguelen
Indian / Mahe
Indian / Maldives
Indian / Mauritius
Indian / Mayotte
Indian / Reunion
Pacific / Apia
Pacific / Auckland
Pacific / Chatham
Pacific / Chuuk
Pacific / Easter
Pacific / Efate
Pacific / Enderbury
Pacific / Fakaofo
Pacific / Fiji
Pacific / Funafuti
Pacific / Galapagos
Pacific / Gambier
Pacific / Guadalcanal
Pacific / Guam
Pacific / Honolulu
Pacific / Johnston
Pacific / Kiritimati
Pacific / Kosrae
Pacific / Kwajalein
Pacific / Majuro
Pacific / Marquesas
Pacific / Midway
Pacific / Nauru
Pacific / Niue
Pacific / Norfolk
Pacific / Noumea
Pacific / Pago Pago
Pacific / Palau
Pacific / Pitcairn
Pacific / Pohnpei
Pacific / Port Moresby
Pacific / Rarotonga
Pacific / Saipan
Pacific / Tahiti
Pacific / Tarawa
Pacific / Tongatapu
Pacific / Wake
Pacific / Wallis
US / Alaska
US / Arizona
US / Central
US / Eastern
US / Hawaii
US / Mountain
US / Pacific
UTC
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Answers
60 Characters
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Answers
60 Characters
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+ Add answer
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Answers
Please enter answer options in ascending order, lowest first. The trend chart will be displayed in descending order, highest on top. Answers which are a numeric range include the upper value but exclude the lower value (see Regulations).
60 Characters
Initial prices
Choose colour
Initial price invalid
Re-sort answer
Delete answer
Choose colour
Initial price invalid
Re-sort answer
Delete answer
Add answer
Reset colours
Sum must be 100
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