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Jobs: How many people will the market research industry employ in 2020, and why?

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  • Prediki Predictions, Platform Operator
    Modification proposal 5 accepted on 2016/09/16 14:36:14

    Fixed typos.

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    Question
    Jobs: How many people will the market research industry employ in 2020, and why?
    Judgement rule
    This prediction question shall be judged by total number of employees working in the market research industry as reported by the ESOMAR GMR 2020. As the GMR reports only the employees for the 25 largest market research firms, that number is grossed up pro rata to the share of turnover for the 25 included firms to get an industry wide indication.
    This prediction question shall be judged by the total number of employees working in the market research industry according to the GMR 2020. As the GMR reports only the employees for the 25 largest market research firms, that number is grossed up pro rata to their share of turnover to get an industry-wide number for judgement..
    Question type
    Ordered answer scale
    Answers
    • 1. (12.50%) Less than 200,000
    • 2. (12.50%) 200,000 to 240,000
    • 3. (12.50%) 240,000 to 260,000
    • 4. (12.50%) 260,000 to 270,000
    • 5. (12.50%) 270,000 to 280,000
    • 6. (12.50%) 280,000 to 300,000
    • 7. (12.50%) 300,000 to 340,000
    • 8. (12.50%) More than 340,000
    Time zone
    Europe/Amsterdam
    Reference date:
    2019/12/31 24:00
    Result expected on
    2020/09/30 24:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until  
  • Prediki Predictions, Platform Operator
    Modification proposal 4 accepted on 2016/09/16 14:33:51

    Fixed typos

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    Question
    Jobs: How many people will the market research industry employ in 2020, and why?
    Judgement rule
    This prediction question shall be judged by total number of employees working in the market research industry as reported by the ESOMAR GMR 2020, respectively. As the reports only the employees for the 25 largest market research firms, that number is grossed up pro rata to the share of turnover for the 25 included firms to get an industry wide indication.
    This prediction question shall be judged by total number of employees working in the market research industry as reported by the ESOMAR GMR 2020. As the GMR reports only the employees for the 25 largest market research firms, that number is grossed up pro rata to the share of turnover for the 25 included firms to get an industry wide indication.
    Question type
    Ordered answer scale
    Answers
    • 1. (12.50%) Less than 200,000
    • 2. (12.50%) 200,000 to 240,000
    • 3. (12.50%) 240,000 to 260,000
    • 4. (12.50%) 260,000 to 270,000
    • 5. (12.50%) 270,000 to 280,000
    • 6. (12.50%) 280,000 to 300,000
    • 7. (12.50%) 300,000 to 340,000
    • 8. (12.50%) More than 340,000
    Time zone
    Europe/Amsterdam
    Reference date:
    2019/12/31 24:00
    Result expected on
    2020/09/30 24:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until  
  • Prediki Predictions, Platform Operator
    Modification proposal 3 accepted on 2016/09/16 13:46:26

    Adjusted question type to GMR 2016 data.

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    Question
    Job security: Will the market research industry employ more or less people in 2020 than in 2016, and why?
    Jobs: How many people will the market research industry employ in 2020, and why?
    Judgement rule
    This prediction question shall be judged by the percentage increase or decline of the total number of employees working in the market research industry as reported by the ESOMAR GMR 2016 and 2020, respectively.

    As the number is reported only for a subset of the 25 largest market research firms, it is grossed up pro rata to the share of industry revenue for the included firms.
    This prediction question shall be judged by total number of employees working in the market research industry as reported by the ESOMAR GMR 2020, respectively. As the reports only the employees for the 25 largest market research firms, that number is grossed up pro rata to the share of turnover for the 25 included firms to get an industry wide indication.
    Question type
    Ordered answer scale
    Answers
    • 1. Less than -20% (12.50%) Less than 200,000
    • 2. -20 to -10 % (12.50%) 200,000 to 240,000
    • 3. -10 to -5% (12.50%) 240,000 to 260,000
    • 4. -5 to 0% (12.50%) 260,000 to 270,000
    • 5. 0 to +5% (12.50%) 270,000 to 280,000
    • 6. +5 to +10% (12.50%) 280,000 to 300,000
    • 7. +10 to +20% (12.50%) 300,000 to 340,000
    • 8. More than +20% (12.50%) More than 340,000
    Time zone
    Europe/Amsterdam
    Reference date:
    2019/12/31 24:00
    Result expected on
    2020/09/30 24:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until  
  • Prediki Predictions, Platform Operator
    Modification proposal 2 accepted on 2016/09/16 13:39:33

    Logical order

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    Question
    Job security: Will the market research industry employ more or less people in 2020 than in 2016, and why?
    Judgement rule
    This prediction question shall be judged by the percentage increase or decline of the total number of employees working in the market research industry as reported by the ESOMAR GMR 2016 and 2020, respectively.

    As the number is reported only for a subset of the 25 largest market research firms, it is grossed up pro rata to the share of industry revenue for the included firms.
    Question type
    Ordered answer scale
    Answers
    • 1. (12.50%) Less than -20%
    • 2. -10 to -20% (12.50%) -20 to -10 %
    • 3. -5 to -10% (12.50%) -10 to -5%
    • 4. 0 to -5% (12.50%) -5 to 0%
    • 5. (12.50%) 0 to +5%
    • 6. (12.50%) +5 to +10%
    • 7. (12.50%) +10 to +20%
    • 8. (12.50%) More than +20%
    Time zone
    Europe/Amsterdam
    Reference date:
    2019/12/31 24:00
    Result expected on
    2020/09/30 24:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until  
  • Prediki Predictions, Platform Operator
    Modification proposal 1 accepted on 2016/09/13 11:00:35

    Defined calculation for industry-wide employees.

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    or cancel

    Question
    Job security: Will the market research industry employ more or less people in 2020 than in 2016, and why?
    Judgement rule
    This prediction question shall be judged by the percentage increase or decline of the total number of employees as reported by the ESOMAR GMR 2016 and 2020, respectively.
    This prediction question shall be judged by the percentage increase or decline of the total number of employees working in the market research industry as reported by the ESOMAR GMR 2016 and 2020, respectively.

    As the number is reported only for a subset of the 25 largest market research firms, it is grossed up pro rata to the share of industry revenue for the included firms.
    Question type
    Ordered answer scale
    Answers
    • 1. (12.50%) Less than -20%
    • 2. (12.50%) -10 to -20%
    • 3. (12.50%) -5 to -10%
    • 4. (12.50%) 0 to -5%
    • 5. (12.50%) 0 to +5%
    • 6. (12.50%) +5 to +10%
    • 7. (12.50%) +10 to +20%
    • 8. (12.50%) More than +20%
    Time zone
    Europe/Amsterdam
    Reference date:
    2019/12/31 24:00
    Result expected on
    2020/09/30 24:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until  
  • Prediki Predictions, Platform Operator
    New question proposed accepted on 2016/09/12 10:38:53
    Profile picture
    
        
    or cancel

    Question
    Job security: Will the market research industry employ more or less people in 2020 than in 2016, and why?
    Judgement rule
    This prediction question shall be judged by the percentage increase or decline of the total number of employees as reported by the ESOMAR GMR 2016 and 2020, respectively.
    Question type
    Ordered answer scale
    Answers
    • 1. (12.50%) Less than -20%
    • 2. (12.50%) -10 to -20%
    • 3. (12.50%) -5 to -10%
    • 4. (12.50%) 0 to -5%
    • 5. (12.50%) 0 to +5%
    • 6. (12.50%) +5 to +10%
    • 7. (12.50%) +10 to +20%
    • 8. (12.50%) More than +20%
    Time zone
    Europe/Amsterdam
    Reference date:
    2019/12/31 24:00
    Result expected on
    2020/09/30 24:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until