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Crowdsourcing: What percentage level of interest will Prediction Markets reach by 2020 compared to Market Research, and why?

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  • Prediki Predictions, Platform Operator
    Modification proposal 1 accepted on 2016/09/20 12:55:51

    Improved wording

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    Question
    Crowdsourcing: What level of adoption will Prediction Markets reach by 2020?
    Crowdsourcing: What percentage level of interest will Prediction Markets reach by 2020 compared to Market Research, and why?
    Judgement rule
    This prediction question shall be judged by the ratio of Google search traffic for "Prediction Markets" divided by that for "Market Research". Search traffic shall be calculated for the last full calendar month before the ESOMAR Congress 2020.
    Question type
    Ordered answer scale
    Answers
    • 1. (12.50%) 0 - 1%
    • 2. (12.50%) 1 - 2%
    • 3. (12.50%) 2 - 5%
    • 4. (12.50%) 5 - 10%
    • 5. (12.50%) 10 - 20%
    • 6. (12.50%) 20 - 30%
    • 7. (12.50%) 30 - 50%
    • 8. (12.50%) More than 50%
    Time zone
    Europe/Amsterdam
    Reference date:
    2020/08/31 24:00
    Result expected on
    2020/08/31 24:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until  
  • Prediki Predictions, Platform Operator
    New question proposed accepted on 2016/09/13 10:30:10
    Profile picture
    
        
    or cancel

    Question
    Crowdsourcing: What level of adoption will Prediction Markets reach by 2020?
    Judgement rule
    This prediction question shall be judged by the ratio of Google search traffic for "Prediction Markets" divided by that for "Market Research". Search traffic shall be calculated for the last full calendar month before the ESOMAR Congress 2020.
    Question type
    Ordered answer scale
    Answers
    • 1. (12.50%) 0 - 1%
    • 2. (12.50%) 1 - 2%
    • 3. (12.50%) 2 - 5%
    • 4. (12.50%) 5 - 10%
    • 5. (12.50%) 10 - 20%
    • 6. (12.50%) 20 - 30%
    • 7. (12.50%) 30 - 50%
    • 8. (12.50%) More than 50%
    Time zone
    Europe/Amsterdam
    Reference date:
    2020/08/31 24:00
    Result expected on
    2020/08/31 24:00
    Trading session (optional):
      until